Stanmore Resources Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Stanmore Resources's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.2% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 61.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 55.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.4% in 3 years.
Key information
61.5%
Earnings growth rate
55.29%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining earnings growth | 15.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | -0.2% |
| Future return on equity | 5.40% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 02
SMR: Future Returns Will Depend On Successful Queensland Coal Portfolio Acquisition
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Stanmore Resources, trimming fair value from A$3.13 to about A$3.12, as updated assumptions reflect a lower revenue growth rate alongside a higher profit margin outlook and a revised future P/E of roughly 24x. What's in the News Stanmore remains a leading bidder for Anglo American's Queensland coal portfolio, a potential deal described as above $5b and involving some of the world's higher-quality metallurgical coal assets, with final bids due in late April or early May (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 18
SMR: Future Returns Will Rely On Stable Margins And Production Delivery
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Stanmore Resources to A$3.13 from A$3.18, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Stanmore Resources reported consolidated operating results for 2025, with saleable coal production of 14.0 Mt compared with 13.8 Mt in the prior year, and ROM coal mined of 20.5 Mt compared with 19.4 Mt (company announcement).
Narrative Update • Apr 03
SMR: Softer Revenue And Margins Will Shape A Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Stanmore Resources to A$2.70, reflecting updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, a softer revenue outlook, slightly lower profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Stanmore Resources reported consolidated operating results for 2025, with saleable coal production of 14.0 Mt and ROM coal mined of 20.5 Mt, providing investors with updated volume data for the year (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 20
SMR: Future Returns Will Rely On Stable Margins And Production Delivery
Analysts have modestly increased their A$ price target on Stanmore Resources, citing slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Stanmore Resources reported consolidated operating results for 2025, with saleable coal production of 14.0 Mt compared with 13.8 Mt a year earlier, and ROM coal mined of 20.5 Mt compared with 19.4 Mt a year earlier (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 06
SMR: Future Returns Will Depend On Modest Margins And Lower P/E Multiple
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Stanmore Resources from A$3.20 to about A$3.18, reflecting updated assumptions around growth, margins and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Stanmore Resources reported consolidated operating results for 2025, with saleable coal production of 14.0 Mt compared with 13.8 Mt in the prior year and ROM coal mined of 20.5 Mt versus 19.4 Mt a year earlier (company announcement).Narrative Update • Feb 19
SMR: Future Returns Will Rely On Higher P/E Despite Softer Revenue Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Stanmore Resources to A$3.20, with the small change reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E rather than a shift in the core outlook. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$3.20 remains unchanged, with the updated inputs leaving the overall valuation level steady.Narrative Update • Feb 05
SMR: Future Returns Will Balance Weaker Revenue Outlook With Higher Earnings Multiple
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Stanmore Resources from A$2.87 to A$3.20, reflecting updates to their fair value, discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated from A$2.87 to A$3.20, representing a modest uplift in the assessed valuation per share.
New Narrative • Jan 25
South Walker Creek Expansion And Cost Discipline Will Support Stronger Long Term Coal Earnings
Catalysts About Stanmore Resources Stanmore Resources is a metallurgical coal producer with operations including South Walker Creek, Poitrel and Isaac Plains in Queensland. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Jan 22
SMR: Modest Margin Assumptions Will Sustain A Cautious Overvaluation View
Narrative update Analysts have nudged their price target for Stanmore Resources higher to A$2.70 from A$2.60, citing updated assumptions that now reflect a slightly lower discount rate, a smaller projected revenue decline of 44.6%, a modestly higher profit margin of 6.66% and a future P/E of 15.64. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated analyst fair value has moved from A$2.60 to about A$2.70 per share.Narrative Update • Jan 07
SMR: Future Margins And Trimmed Production Guidance Will Shape Fair View
Analysts have reduced their price target for Stanmore Resources, citing a lower assumed profit margin of 6.60% and a higher future P/E of 15.17x as key drivers of the revised valuation. What's in the News Stanmore Resources issued updated full year 2025 saleable production guidance, keeping the lower end of its consolidated range unchanged.Narrative Update • Dec 14
SMR: Future Margins And Production Guidance Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Stanmore Resources from A$2.20 to A$2.60, citing slightly improved long term profit margin expectations and a higher justified valuation multiple, despite only modest upgrades to revenue growth assumptions and a higher discount rate. What's in the News Slight revision to full-year 2025 saleable production guidance, with the lower end of consolidated guidance maintained and the upper end narrowed to reflect reduced expected output from the Isaac Plains Complex (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value: Increased from A$2.20 to A$2.60, representing a modest uplift in the assessed intrinsic value per share.Analysis Article • Nov 03
Is Stanmore Resources (ASX:SMR) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Narrative Update • Oct 10
Indian Urbanization And Low-Capex Projects Will Boost Seaborne Coal Demand
Analysts have revised their price target for Stanmore Resources upward from $2.70 to $2.87, based on improved profit margins and a positive shift in projected revenue growth. What's in the News Stanmore Resources reported operating results for the half year ended 30 June 2025, with saleable coal production of 6.510 Mt, slightly down from 6.760 Mt in the previous year (Announcement of Operating Results).Narrative Update • Sep 26
Indian Urbanization And Low-Capex Projects Will Boost Seaborne Coal Demand
Stanmore Resources’ fair value estimate was unchanged as the future P/E multiple increased sharply and consensus revenue growth forecasts improved slightly. What's in the News Saleable coal production for H1 2025 was 6.510 Mt, down from 6.760 Mt year-over-year.Analysis Article • Sep 07
Revenues Working Against Stanmore Resources Limited's (ASX:SMR) Share Price Following 25% Dive
Stanmore Resources Limited ( ASX:SMR ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period...Analysis Article • Jul 22
Stanmore Resources Limited (ASX:SMR) Stock Rockets 25% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company
Despite an already strong run, Stanmore Resources Limited ( ASX:SMR ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25...Analysis Article • Apr 07
Stanmore Resources Limited's (ASX:SMR) 26% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Stanmore Resources Limited ( ASX:SMR ) share price has dived 26% in the last...Analysis Article • Mar 31
We Think Stanmore Resources (ASX:SMR) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
New Narrative • Mar 10
South Walker Creek Expansion To Improve Efficiency Amid Expected Revenue Declines
Completion of capital projects under budget, strategic acquisitions, and South Walker expansion may boost margins and drive revenue growth through enhanced production capacity.Analysis Article • Dec 14
There's No Escaping Stanmore Resources Limited's (ASX:SMR) Muted Earnings
When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 21x, you may consider...Analysis Article • Sep 03
Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Stanmore Resources (ASX:SMR)
Last week's earnings announcement from Stanmore Resources Limited ( ASX:SMR ) was disappointing to investors, with a...Analysis Article • Aug 29
Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Stanmore Resources Limited (ASX:SMR) After Its Half-Year Results
Last week, you might have seen that Stanmore Resources Limited ( ASX:SMR ) released its half-yearly result to the...Analysis Article • Aug 28
Stanmore Resources Limited's (ASX:SMR) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market
Stanmore Resources Limited's ( ASX:SMR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7x might make it look like a strong buy...Analysis Article • May 29
Stanmore Resources Limited's (ASX:SMR) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
Stanmore Resources Limited's ( ASX:SMR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4x might make it look like a strong buy...Analysis Article • Apr 05
Does Stanmore Resources (ASX:SMR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Dec 08
Here's Why We Think Stanmore Resources (ASX:SMR) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • Nov 09
Estimating The Fair Value Of Stanmore Resources Limited (ASX:SMR)
Key Insights Stanmore Resources' estimated fair value is AU$3.53 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With AU$3.68...Analysis Article • Oct 18
Stanmore Resources (ASX:SMR) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Sep 05
With EPS Growth And More, Stanmore Resources (ASX:SMR) Makes An Interesting Case
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,927 | 96 | 259 | 424 | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2,034 | 83 | 294 | 425 | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 2,062 | 20 | 245 | 388 | 3 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,883 | -47 | 267 | 381 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,960 | -21 | 162 | 365 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 2,038 | 5 | 58 | 349 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 2,217 | 98 | 63 | 378 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 2,397 | 192 | 69 | 408 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 2,468 | 230 | 182 | 479 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,539 | 268 | 294 | 551 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,672 | 370 | 418 | 644 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,805 | 472 | 541 | 737 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,948 | 631 | 713 | 876 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,092 | 789 | 886 | 1,014 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,895 | 728 | 973 | 1,098 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,698 | 667 | 1,061 | 1,182 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,004 | 452 | 821 | 915 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,310 | 237 | 580 | 649 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 797 | 122 | 313 | 372 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 284 | 7 | 46 | 96 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 174 | -24 | -34 | -2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 202 | -15 | -39 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 231 | -6 | -44 | -22 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 252 | 24 | -27 | 4 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 252 | 41 | 11 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 320 | 68 | 52 | 92 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 290 | 64 | N/A | 92 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 283 | 64 | N/A | 98 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 240 | 39 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 193 | 14 | N/A | 29 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 174 | 9 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 154 | 4 | N/A | 16 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 142 | 10 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 126 | 16 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 117 | 13 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 106 | 9 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 80 | -1 | N/A | -27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 52 | -10 | N/A | -38 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 32 | -13 | N/A | -33 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 9 | -15 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5 | -14 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 0 | -13 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 0 | -10 | N/A | -4 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: SMR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.6%).
Earnings vs Market: SMR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: SMR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: SMR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: SMR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: SMR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/08 12:14 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Stanmore Resources Limited is covered by 10 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jim Xu | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Matthew Ryan | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |