Stock Analysis

Resolute Mining Limited (ASX:RSG) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

ASX:RSG
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Despite an already strong run, Resolute Mining Limited (ASX:RSG) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 11% is also fairly reasonable.

Although its price has surged higher, Resolute Mining's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Metals and Mining industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 85x and even P/S above 547x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Resolute Mining

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:RSG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 24th 2024

How Has Resolute Mining Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Resolute Mining's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Keen to find out how analysts think Resolute Mining's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Resolute Mining's Revenue Growth Trending?

Resolute Mining's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.1% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.0% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 72% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Resolute Mining's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Resolute Mining have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Resolute Mining maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Resolute Mining with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of Resolute Mining's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.