Ramelius Resources Limited

ASX:RMS Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$2.5b

Ramelius Resources Valuation

Is RMS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RMS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RMS (A$2.16) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$0.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RMS is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RMS?

Key metric: As RMS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RMS. This is calculated by dividing RMS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RMS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.5x
EarningsAU$216.58m
Market CapAU$2.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RMS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RMS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
WGX Westgold Resources
28.8x35.3%AU$2.7b
GOR Gold Road Resources
21.3x21.5%AU$2.2b
WAF West African Resources
10.9x28.6%AU$1.7b
PRU Perseus Mining
6.9x-9.3%AU$3.6b
RMS Ramelius Resources
11.5x-4.2%AU$2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RMS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the peer average (17x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RMS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.7x-13.3%US$206.23m
RHI Red Hill Minerals
1.7xn/aUS$164.51m
GRR Grange Resources
2.4xn/aUS$158.54m
PTN Patronus Resources
1.8xn/aUS$49.96m
RMS 11.5xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RMS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RMS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RMS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.5x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RMS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RMS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.16
AU$2.55
+18.0%
23.1%AU$3.25AU$1.32n/a6
Dec ’25AU$2.10
AU$2.55
+21.4%
23.3%AU$3.25AU$1.32n/a6
Nov ’25AU$2.33
AU$2.53
+8.7%
23.4%AU$3.25AU$1.32n/a6
Oct ’25AU$2.18
AU$2.24
+2.7%
24.2%AU$2.80AU$1.32n/a7
Sep ’25AU$2.22
AU$2.21
-0.4%
24.1%AU$2.80AU$1.32n/a7
Aug ’25AU$1.96
AU$2.18
+11.0%
24.4%AU$2.80AU$1.32n/a7
Jul ’25AU$1.88
AU$2.08
+11.1%
21.2%AU$2.60AU$1.32n/a7
Jun ’25AU$1.97
AU$2.06
+4.6%
21.3%AU$2.60AU$1.32n/a7
May ’25AU$1.95
AU$2.00
+2.8%
20.8%AU$2.60AU$1.32n/a7
Apr ’25AU$1.86
AU$1.86
-0.2%
17.7%AU$2.25AU$1.32n/a7
Mar ’25AU$1.45
AU$1.80
+24.8%
15.0%AU$2.10AU$1.32n/a6
Feb ’25AU$1.58
AU$1.84
+16.6%
15.0%AU$2.15AU$1.32n/a6
Jan ’25AU$1.69
AU$1.74
+3.4%
13.1%AU$2.00AU$1.32n/a7
Dec ’24AU$1.72
AU$1.70
-1.0%
12.0%AU$2.00AU$1.32AU$2.107
Nov ’24AU$1.66
AU$1.70
+2.3%
12.0%AU$2.00AU$1.32AU$2.337
Oct ’24AU$1.44
AU$1.65
+14.9%
10.6%AU$1.95AU$1.32AU$2.187
Sep ’24AU$1.38
AU$1.60
+15.8%
9.1%AU$1.80AU$1.32AU$2.227
Aug ’24AU$1.30
AU$1.56
+20.2%
10.8%AU$1.75AU$1.30AU$1.967
Jul ’24AU$1.26
AU$1.52
+20.7%
12.4%AU$1.80AU$1.20AU$1.887
Jun ’24AU$1.42
AU$1.49
+4.9%
12.3%AU$1.80AU$1.20AU$1.977
May ’24AU$1.30
AU$1.47
+13.4%
13.1%AU$1.80AU$1.20AU$1.956
Apr ’24AU$1.27
AU$1.34
+5.2%
9.9%AU$1.50AU$1.10AU$1.867
Mar ’24AU$0.95
AU$1.31
+37.5%
10.6%AU$1.50AU$1.10AU$1.457
Feb ’24AU$1.01
AU$1.31
+30.8%
10.6%AU$1.50AU$1.10AU$1.587
Jan ’24AU$0.93
AU$1.25
+34.4%
12.2%AU$1.50AU$1.00AU$1.697
Dec ’23AU$0.94
AU$1.24
+30.8%
14.4%AU$1.50AU$0.90AU$1.727

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 23:25
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ramelius Resources Limited is covered by 12 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen ThomasBell Potter
Tim McCormackCanaccord Genuity
Andrew BowlerMacquarie Research