Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By PPK Group Limited's (ASX:PPK) 31% Share Price Plunge

ASX:PPK
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the PPK Group Limited (ASX:PPK) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, PPK Group may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 3.3x and even P/S higher than 29x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for PPK Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:PPK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 5th 2024

What Does PPK Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, PPK Group has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on PPK Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is PPK Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, PPK Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. In spite of this unbelievable short-term growth, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 5,446% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why PPK Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On PPK Group's P/S

PPK Group's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of PPK Group revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for PPK Group (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether PPK Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.