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- ASX:PLS
Despite shrinking by AU$241m in the past week, Pilbara Minerals (ASX:PLS) shareholders are still up 679% over 5 years
It hasn't been the best quarter for Pilbara Minerals Limited (ASX:PLS) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 26% in that time. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been spectacular. In that time, the share price has soared some 586% higher! Arguably, the recent fall is to be expected after such a strong rise. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 35% decline over the last twelve months. Anyone who held for that rewarding ride would probably be keen to talk about it.
In light of the stock dropping 3.5% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.
View our latest analysis for Pilbara Minerals
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the five years of share price growth, Pilbara Minerals moved from a loss to profitability. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Pilbara Minerals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered Pilbara Minerals' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Pilbara Minerals' TSR of 679% for the 5 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 14% in the last year, Pilbara Minerals shareholders lost 35%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 51%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Pilbara Minerals (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Pilbara Minerals is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
Engages in the exploration, development, and operation of mineral resources in Australia.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.