Predictive Discovery Limited

ASX:PDI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$576.0m

Predictive Discovery Valuation

Is PDI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PDI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PDI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PDI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PDI?

Key metric: As PDI barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for PDI. This is calculated by dividing PDI's market cap by their current book value.
What is PDI's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio3.4x
BookAU$169.95m
Market CapAU$575.97m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does PDI's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for PDI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3x
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.4x-13.3%AU$345.4m
BC8 Black Cat Syndicate
2.8xn/aAU$333.0m
BTR Brightstar Resources
2.4x84.6%AU$164.1m
POL Polymetals Resources
5.2xn/aAU$139.3m
PDI Predictive Discovery
3.4x89.3%AU$576.0m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: PDI is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.4x) compared to the peer average (3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does PDI's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAS Hastings Technology Metals
0.2x12.6%US$31.24m
JRV Jervois Global
0.1xn/aUS$19.38m
ADN Andromeda Metals
0.2x25.5%US$17.69m
CTO Citigold
0.1xn/aUS$7.80m
PDI 3.4xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies95PB00.81.62.43.24+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: PDI is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.4x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.2x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PDI's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PDI PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio3.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PDI's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PDI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.24
AU$0.51
+108.2%
11.4%AU$0.60AU$0.45n/a5
Nov ’25AU$0.27
AU$0.51
+88.9%
11.4%AU$0.60AU$0.45n/a5
Oct ’25AU$0.26
AU$0.47
+84.3%
19.7%AU$0.60AU$0.35n/a5
Sep ’25AU$0.23
AU$0.45
+95.7%
18.6%AU$0.60AU$0.35n/a5
Aug ’25AU$0.18
AU$0.45
+150.0%
18.6%AU$0.60AU$0.35n/a5
Jul ’25AU$0.17
AU$0.46
+161.7%
17.5%AU$0.60AU$0.35n/a5
Jun ’25AU$0.20
AU$0.43
+120.5%
18.3%AU$0.55AU$0.35n/a4
May ’25AU$0.21
AU$0.43
+106.0%
17.0%AU$0.55AU$0.35n/a4
Apr ’25AU$0.23
AU$0.43
+89.3%
20.5%AU$0.55AU$0.32n/a5
Mar ’25AU$0.19
AU$0.43
+124.2%
20.5%AU$0.55AU$0.32n/a5
Feb ’25AU$0.21
AU$0.43
+102.9%
20.5%AU$0.55AU$0.32n/a5
Jan ’25AU$0.21
AU$0.42
+99.0%
21.6%AU$0.55AU$0.32n/a5
Dec ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.41
+77.4%
20.4%AU$0.55AU$0.32n/a5
Nov ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.41
+77.4%
20.4%AU$0.55AU$0.32AU$0.275
Oct ’24AU$0.19
AU$0.41
+114.7%
20.4%AU$0.55AU$0.32AU$0.265
Sep ’24AU$0.21
AU$0.41
+94.3%
20.4%AU$0.55AU$0.32AU$0.235
Aug ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.38
+129.1%
11.8%AU$0.45AU$0.32AU$0.185
Jul ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.40
+142.4%
8.8%AU$0.45AU$0.35AU$0.174
Jun ’24AU$0.16
AU$0.42
+165.6%
17.6%AU$0.55AU$0.35AU$0.204
May ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.47
+171.4%
15.8%AU$0.55AU$0.40AU$0.212
Apr ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.46
+178.8%
19.6%AU$0.55AU$0.37AU$0.232
Mar ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.46
+178.8%
19.6%AU$0.55AU$0.37AU$0.192
Feb ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.39
+113.9%
3.9%AU$0.40AU$0.37AU$0.212
Jan ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.37
+105.6%
8.1%AU$0.40AU$0.34AU$0.212
Dec ’23AU$0.22
AU$0.37
+68.2%
8.1%AU$0.40AU$0.34AU$0.232
Nov ’23AU$0.15
AU$0.37
+138.7%
8.1%AU$0.40AU$0.34AU$0.232

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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