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PDI

Predictive DiscoveryASX:PDI Stock Report

Market Cap

AU$244.1m

7D

0%

1Y

203.3%

Updated

25 Oct, 2021

Data

Company Financials
PDI fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

PDI Overview

Predictive Discovery Limited explores for, identifies, and develops gold reserves in West Africa.

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Predictive Discovery
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$0.18
52 Week HighAU$0.054
52 Week LowAU$0.27
Beta5.99
1 Month Change19.36%
3 Month Change32.14%
1 Year Change203.28%
3 Year Change1,133.33%
5 Year Change83.36%
Change since IPO-92.39%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

PDIAU Metals and MiningAU Market
7D0%-1.7%0.6%
1Y203.3%10.8%21.3%

Return vs Industry: PDI exceeded the Australian Metals and Mining industry which returned 10.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: PDI exceeded the Australian Market which returned 21.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is PDI's price volatile compared to industry and market?
PDI volatility
PDI Beta5.99
Industry Beta0.97
Market Beta1

Stable Share Price: PDI is more volatile than 90% of Australian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 20% a week.

Volatility Over Time: PDI's weekly volatility has increased from 14% to 20% over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2007n/aPaul Robertshttps://www.predictivediscovery.com

Predictive Discovery Limited explores for, identifies, and develops gold reserves in West Africa. Its flagship property is the 100% owned Bankan Gold project, which covers an area of 358 square kilometers located within Guinea’s Siguiri Basin. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Predictive Discovery Fundamentals Summary

How do Predictive Discovery's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
PDI fundamental statistics
Market CapAU$244.15m
Earnings (TTM)-AU$6.62m
Revenue (TTM)AU$15.04k

18.5kx

P/S Ratio

-37.9x

P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
PDI income statement (TTM)
RevenueAU$15.04k
Cost of RevenueAU$0
Gross ProfitAU$15.04k
ExpensesAU$6.64m
Earnings-AU$6.62m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.0049
Gross Margin100.00%
Net Profit Margin-44,040.73%
Debt/Equity Ratio0.0%

How did PDI perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is Predictive Discovery undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

6.92x

Price to Book (PB) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PDI's fair value to establish if it is undervalued.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PDI's fair value to establish if it is undervalued.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: PDI is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average.

PE vs Market: PDI is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the Australian market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PDI's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: PDI is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (6.9x) compared to the AU Metals and Mining industry average (2.6x).


Future Growth

How is Predictive Discovery forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 0 analysts?

-0.5%

Forecasted Materials industry annual growth in earnings


In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Predictive Discovery has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.

This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by SimplyWall St do have past financial data.


Past Performance

How has Predictive Discovery performed over the past 5 years?

17.0%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: PDI is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: PDI is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: PDI is unprofitable, but has reduced losses over the past 5 years at a rate of 17% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare PDI's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: PDI is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Metals and Mining industry (35.3%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: PDI has a negative Return on Equity (-18.25%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Financial Health

How is Predictive Discovery's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: PDI's short term assets (A$23.0M) exceed its short term liabilities (A$2.5M).

Long Term Liabilities: PDI has no long term liabilities.


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: PDI is debt free.

Reducing Debt: PDI has not had any debt for past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: PDI has sufficient cash runway for more than a year based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: PDI has less than a year of cash runway if free cash flow continues to reduce at historical rates of 35% each year


Dividend

What is Predictive Discovery current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate PDI's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate PDI's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if PDI's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if PDI's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of PDI's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the Australian market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.8yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Paul Roberts

no data

Tenure

AU$729,973

Compensation

Mr. Paul Roberts, BSc, MSc, FAIG, MGSA, serves as the Managing Director of Predictive Discovery Limited. Mr. Roberts has a long and successful history in mineral exploration management and mine geology bot...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Paul's total compensation ($USD545.41K) is about average for companies of similar size in the Australian market ($USD552.88K).

Compensation vs Earnings: Paul's compensation has increased whilst the company is unprofitable.


Board Members

Experienced Board: PDI's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 1.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 64.6%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Predictive Discovery Limited's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Predictive Discovery Limited
  • Ticker: PDI
  • Exchange: ASX
  • Founded: 2007
  • Industry: Gold
  • Sector: Materials
  • Market Cap: AU$244.148m
  • Shares outstanding: 1.36b
  • Website: https://www.predictivediscovery.com

Location

  • Predictive Discovery Limited
  • 33 Ord Street
  • Level 2
  • West Perth
  • Western Australia
  • 6005
  • Australia

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/10/25 07:05
End of Day Share Price2021/10/25 00:00
Earnings2021/06/30
Annual Earnings2021/06/30


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.