Orica Limited

ASX:ORI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$10.7b

Orica Valuation

Is ORI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of ORI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: ORI (A$23) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (A$57.42)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: ORI is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORI?

Key metric: As ORI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ORI. This is calculated by dividing ORI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ORI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio42.5x
EarningsAU$250.70m
Market CapAU$10.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.1x
DNL Dyno Nobel
26.3x15.49%AU$6.7b
MIN Mineral Resources
32x9.30%AU$12.8b
SFR Sandfire Resources
43.6x23.52%AU$8.7b
BSL BlueScope Steel
50.5x21.53%AU$14.5b
ORI Orica
42.5x27.62%AU$10.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.5x) compared to the peer average (38.1x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Chemicals Industry?

50 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ORI 42.5xIndustry Avg. 21.8xNo. of Companies239PE020406080100+
50 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.5x) compared to the Global Chemicals industry average (21.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ORI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$23.00
AU$25.79
+12.12%
6.90%AU$28.00AU$20.00n/a15
Jun ’27AU$22.70
AU$25.79
+13.60%
6.90%AU$28.00AU$20.00n/a15
May ’27AU$21.18
AU$25.42
+20.02%
7.36%AU$28.50AU$20.00n/a15
Apr ’27AU$20.75
AU$25.64
+23.57%
8.39%AU$30.00AU$20.00n/a15
Mar ’27AU$24.42
AU$26.54
+8.66%
8.57%AU$30.00AU$20.00n/a14
Feb ’27AU$25.72
AU$26.44
+2.81%
8.49%AU$30.00AU$20.00n/a14
Jan ’27AU$24.28
AU$26.10
+7.49%
7.42%AU$28.40AU$20.00n/a14
Dec ’26AU$23.83
AU$25.86
+8.51%
7.65%AU$28.40AU$20.00n/a14
Nov ’26AU$22.25
AU$22.95
+3.16%
8.71%AU$25.70AU$18.50n/a14
Oct ’26AU$21.29
AU$22.56
+5.96%
7.82%AU$24.87AU$18.50n/a14
Sep ’26AU$21.63
AU$21.56
-0.32%
6.31%AU$23.00AU$18.00n/a14
Aug ’26AU$21.30
AU$21.56
+1.23%
6.31%AU$23.00AU$18.00n/a14
Jul ’26AU$19.46
AU$21.56
+10.80%
6.31%AU$23.00AU$18.00n/a14
Jun ’26AU$18.79
AU$21.56
+14.73%
6.55%AU$23.00AU$18.00AU$22.7013
May ’26AU$16.35
AU$20.65
+26.28%
7.17%AU$22.50AU$17.50AU$21.1814
Apr ’26AU$17.16
AU$20.69
+20.57%
6.80%AU$22.50AU$17.50AU$20.7514
Mar ’26AU$16.46
AU$20.63
+25.32%
7.07%AU$23.00AU$17.50AU$24.4214
Feb ’26AU$17.62
AU$20.63
+17.07%
7.07%AU$23.00AU$17.50AU$25.7214
Jan ’26AU$16.58
AU$20.63
+24.41%
7.07%AU$23.00AU$17.50AU$24.2814
Dec ’25AU$18.11
AU$20.61
+13.80%
7.08%AU$23.00AU$17.50AU$23.8314
Nov ’25AU$17.23
AU$20.18
+17.13%
6.24%AU$22.00AU$17.50AU$22.2514
Oct ’25AU$18.02
AU$20.20
+12.09%
6.03%AU$22.00AU$17.50AU$21.2914
Sep ’25AU$17.76
AU$20.19
+13.71%
6.46%AU$22.00AU$17.00AU$21.6314
Aug ’25AU$18.12
AU$20.14
+11.13%
6.40%AU$22.00AU$17.00AU$21.3014
Jul ’25AU$17.67
AU$20.14
+13.98%
6.38%AU$22.00AU$17.00AU$19.4614
Jun ’25AU$18.32
AU$20.14
+9.94%
6.38%AU$22.00AU$17.00AU$18.7914
AU$25.79
Fair Value
10.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/11 16:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/11 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Orica Limited is covered by 31 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brook Campbell-CrawfordBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Joseph HouseBell Potter