Stock Analysis

Do Orica's (ASX:ORI) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

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ASX:ORI

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Orica (ASX:ORI). While this doesn't necessarily speak to whether it's undervalued, the profitability of the business is enough to warrant some appreciation - especially if its growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Orica

How Fast Is Orica Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

Over the last three years, Orica has grown earnings per share (EPS) at as impressive rate from a relatively low point, resulting in a three year percentage growth rate that isn't particularly indicative of expected future performance. So it would be better to isolate the growth rate over the last year for our analysis. To the delight of shareholders, Orica's EPS soared from AU$0.65 to AU$1.08, over the last year. That's a fantastic gain of 65%.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. While Orica may have maintained EBIT margins over the last year, revenue has fallen. While this may raise concerns, investors should investigate the reasoning behind this.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

ASX:ORI Earnings and Revenue History December 21st 2024

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Orica's future profits.

Are Orica Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

The good news for Orica shareholders is that no insiders reported selling shares in the last year. With that in mind, it's heartening that Vanessa Guthrie, the Independent Non-Executive Director of the company, paid AU$71k for shares at around AU$18.00 each. It seems that at least one insider is prepared to show the market there is potential within Orica.

Should You Add Orica To Your Watchlist?

For growth investors, Orica's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. Growth in EPS isn't the only striking feature with company insiders adding to their holdings being another noteworthy vote of confidence for the company. So on this analysis, Orica is probably worth spending some time on. It's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Orica , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

The good news is that Orica is not the only stock with insider buying. Here's a list of small cap, undervalued companies in AU with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.