Stock Analysis

Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of Medusa Mining's (ASX:MML) Recent Growth In Returns

ASX:X64
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. And in light of that, the trends we're seeing at Medusa Mining's (ASX:MML) look very promising so lets take a look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Medusa Mining, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.32 = US$64m ÷ (US$223m - US$22m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

Therefore, Medusa Mining has an ROCE of 32%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 8.9% earned by companies in a similar industry.

See our latest analysis for Medusa Mining

roce
ASX:MML Return on Capital Employed July 5th 2021

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Medusa Mining's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Medusa Mining, check out these free graphs here.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

Shareholders will be relieved that Medusa Mining has broken into profitability. The company now earns 32% on its capital, because five years ago it was incurring losses. Interestingly, the capital employed by the business has remained relatively flat, so these higher returns are either from prior investments paying off or increased efficiencies. So while we're happy that the business is more efficient, just keep in mind that could mean that going forward the business is lacking areas to invest internally for growth. So if you're looking for high growth, you'll want to see a business's capital employed also increasing.

The Key Takeaway

As discussed above, Medusa Mining appears to be getting more proficient at generating returns since capital employed has remained flat but earnings (before interest and tax) are up. Investors may not be impressed by the favorable underlying trends yet because over the last five years the stock has only returned 21% to shareholders. Given that, we'd look further into this stock in case it has more traits that could make it multiply in the long term.

Medusa Mining does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Medusa Mining that you might be interested in.

Medusa Mining is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.

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