Liontown Resources Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Liontown Resources is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 57.7% and 40% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 57.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.3% in 3 years.

Key information

57.7%

Earnings growth rate

57.7%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	10.6%
Revenue growth rate	40.0%
Future return on equity	9.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:LTR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	828	133	164	268	11
6/30/2026	639	57	151	160	12
6/30/2025	321	-86	-376	-47	13
6/30/2024	N/A	-65	-713	-47	N/A
3/31/2024	0	-56	-616	-38	N/A
12/31/2023	0	-46	-519	-30	N/A
9/30/2023	0	-34	-384	-23	N/A
6/30/2023	N/A	-22	-249	-16	N/A
3/31/2023	0	-18	-167	-15	N/A
12/31/2022	0	-14	-85	-13	N/A
9/30/2022	0	13	-72	-30	N/A
6/30/2022	N/A	41	-60	-47	N/A
3/31/2022	N/A	42	-52	-45	N/A
12/31/2021	N/A	43	-44	-44	N/A
9/30/2021	N/A	16	-26	-26	N/A
6/30/2021	N/A	-11	-8	-8	N/A
3/31/2021	0	-10	-10	-10	N/A
12/31/2020	0	-10	-11	-11	N/A
9/30/2020	0	-11	-13	-13	N/A
6/30/2020	0	-13	-16	-16	N/A
3/31/2020	0	-14	-15	-15	N/A
12/31/2019	N/A	-16	-14	-14	N/A
9/30/2019	0	-14	-11	-11	N/A
6/30/2019	0	-13	-8	-8	N/A
12/31/2018	0	-9	-6	-6	N/A
9/30/2018	0	-5	-4	-4	N/A
6/30/2018	0	-1	-2	-2	N/A
12/31/2017	0	1	N/A	-1	N/A
9/30/2017	0	-1	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2017	0	-3	N/A	-3	N/A
3/31/2017	0	-2	N/A	-4	N/A
12/31/2016	0	1	N/A	-3	N/A
9/30/2016	0	-1	N/A	-3	N/A
6/30/2016	0	-2	N/A	-2	N/A
3/31/2016	0	-4	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2015	0	-5	N/A	0	N/A
9/30/2015	0	-3	N/A	0	N/A
6/30/2015	N/A	-1	N/A	0	N/A
3/31/2015	N/A	-1	N/A	0	N/A
12/31/2014	N/A	-2	N/A	0	N/A
9/30/2014	N/A	-2	N/A	0	N/A
6/30/2014	N/A	-1	N/A	0	N/A
3/31/2014	0	-2	N/A	0	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LTR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: LTR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: LTR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: LTR's revenue (40% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LTR's revenue (40% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LTR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.3%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/31 06:40
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Liontown Resources Limited is covered by 19 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Glyn Lawcock	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Josh Kannourakis	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Aryan Norozi	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Liontown Resources Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 7.1% to AU$0.99

Price target decreased by 8.5% to AU$1.21

Price target increased by 14% to AU$1.25

Price target decreased by 11% to AU$1.55

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 16%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 95%

Recent updates

Liontown Resources Limited to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Oct 30, 2024

Price target decreased by 7.1% to AU$0.99

Liontown Resources Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 27, 2024

Price target decreased by 8.5% to AU$1.21

Price target increased by 14% to AU$1.25

Now 30% overvalued

New minor risk - Share price stability

Now 24% overvalued

Price target decreased by 11% to AU$1.55

Now 29% undervalued after recent price drop

Albemarle Reportedly Selling Out of Liontown

Liontown Resources Limited Receives Notice for Drem Pty. Limited

Liontown Resources Limited Announces Board Changes

Albemarle Corporation (NYSE: ALB) cancelled the offer to acquire 97.8% stake in Liontown Resources (ASX: LTR).

Mila Resources Plc and Liontown Resources Limited Announce RC Drilling Programme Results

Liontown Resources Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 24, 2023

Albemarle Makes Another Sweetened Bid for Liontown

A Look At The Fair Value Of Liontown Resources Limited (ASX:LTR)

Now 20% undervalued

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 16%

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Mineral Resources Rules Out Liontown Resources Bid

Calculating The Fair Value Of Liontown Resources Limited (ASX:LTR)

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 95%

Price target increased by 17% to AU$2.24

Liontown Resources Limited Announces the Commencement of Open Pit Mining Operations At the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project (Kathleen Valley or Project) in Western Australia

Price target decreased to AU$1.94

Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$1.5m worth of stock

Liontown Resources Limited Provides an Update on Development Progress of Kathleen Valley Lithium Project

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Price target decreased to AU$2.21

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Liontown Resources Limited Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Price target increased to AU$2.45

Price target increased to AU$2.27

Liontown Resources Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 22, 2022

Liontown Resources Limited Announces the Appointment of Ms Adrienne Parker to its Board, Effective 1 October 2022

Craig Williams to Retire from Liontown Resources Limited as Independent Non-Executive Director

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold AU$4.3m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Liontown Resources Limited Announces Retirement of Steven Chadwick as Non-Executive Director

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Price target decreased to AU$2.29

Liontown Appoints Shane McLeay as Non-Executive Director, Effective 3 May 2022

Price target increased to AU$2.52

Price target increased to AU$2.52

No longer forecast to breakeven

No longer forecast to breakeven

Technical Director David Richards has left the company

Liontown Resources Limited Announces Completion of Bulk Concentrate Program Produces Premium Lithium Samples

Price target increased to AU$1.52

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold AU$840k worth of stock

Independent Non-Executive Director exercised options and sold AU$1.0m worth of stock

Technical Director & Executive Director exercised options and sold AU$744k worth of stock

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Technical Director & Executive Director exercised options to buy AU$2.9m worth of stock.

Independent Non-Executive Director exercised options to buy AU$1.5m worth of stock.

Liontown Resources Limited Reports Further Encouraging Results from Recent Geochemical Sampling At the Koojan JV Projec

Liontown Resources Limited Announces That It Has Defined Significant New Exploration Targets in Close Proximity to the Existing Mineral Resource At Its Buldania Lithium Project, Located ~600Km East of Perth in the South-Eastern Goldfields of Western Australia

Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$954k worth of stock

Liontown Resources Limited Reports Results from Initial Wide-Spaced, First-Pass Geochemical Sampling At the Koojan JV Project

Liontown Resources Limited Announces RC Drilling Intersects High Grade Gold At Moora

New 90-day high: AU$0.51

Non-Executive Chairman exercised options to buy AU$1.2m worth of stock.

Liontown Resources Limited Report Further Significant Assay Results from A Partially Completed Maiden Air-Core Drilling Program At Its 100%-Owned Moora Project in Western Australia

Liontown Resources Limited Announces Executive Changes

Liontown Expands Footprint in Northern Julimar Province

Liontown Resources Limited Reports Encouraging Results from Maiden Drilling Program at Moora