Liontown Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Liontown's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -73.5%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings growing at 15.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 91.9% per year.
Key information
-73.46%
Earnings growth rate
-70.52%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining Industry Growth | 22.33% |
| Revenue growth rate | 91.91% |
| Return on equity | -47.43% |
| Net Margin | -89.45% |
| Next Earnings Update | 28 Jul 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 08
LTR: Future Upside Will Likely Be Capped Despite Cash Flow Milestone
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Liontown from A$0.82 to A$0.96, supported by updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Liontown reported its first quarter of positive net cash flow since production began, with A$33 million generated in the March 2026 quarter, according to recent company updates.
Narrative Update • May 25
LTR: Higher Risk Profile Will Pressure Margins Despite Recent Upgrade
Analysts have trimmed their Liontown price target slightly from about A$2.05 to around A$2.03, reflecting updates to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions informed by recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recent upgrade highlighted by Goldman Sachs as a signal that the current A$2.03 price target still leaves room for execution upside if the company delivers on revenue and margin assumptions already embedded in Street models.Narrative Update • May 04
LTR: Lower Future P/E Will Expose Execution Risks At Premium Pricing
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Liontown from A$1.83 to A$2.05, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E in recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher fair value estimate of A$2.05 as reflecting updated expectations for Liontown's revenue generation and profitability, which they see as better aligning the stock with underlying project assumptions.Narrative Update • Apr 20
LTR: Project Execution Risks Will Test Rich Forward P/E Assumptions
Liontown's analyst price target has shifted from A$1.79 to A$1.83 as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and forward P/E following recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models around the A$1.83 price target are weighing both upside and risk around Liontown's revenue outlook, margin profile and the P/E multiples they are willing to apply.Narrative Update • Apr 06
LTR: Higher Discount Rate And Margins Will Test Refined Future P/E Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price target on Liontown to A$1.79, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher discount rates and revenue growth, along with modestly lower profit margins and a refined future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the updated A$1.79 price target highlights a mix of optimism and caution as analysts recalibrate their models for Liontown.Narrative Update • Mar 23
LTR: Higher P/E Outlook Will Reward Successful Execution Despite Raised Discount Rate
Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Liontown from about A$1.83 to A$1.79, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher discount rate, along with a revised future P/E outlook following recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Street research around the recent upgrade focuses on how updated revenue, margin and P/E assumptions line up with Liontown's current fair value and execution risks.Narrative Update • Mar 08
LTR: Execution Risks And Higher Discount Rate Will Likely Cap Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their Liontown price target to A$0.82. This reflects updated assumptions for a slightly higher discount rate, revised revenue growth outlook and profit margin, along with a modest tweak to future P/E expectations.Narrative Update • Feb 22
LTR: Higher P/E And Thinner Margins Will Likely Cap Future Upside
Narrative Update on Liontown The updated analyst price target for Liontown rises from A$0.50 to A$0.82. Analysts point to higher assumed revenue growth of about 46% and a richer future P/E of about 23x.Narrative Update • Feb 08
LTR: Higher Revenue Assumptions Will Face Ongoing Execution And Pricing Risks
Analysts have lifted their price target for Liontown from A$1.63 to A$1.83, reflecting updated assumptions around higher revenue, slightly stronger profit margins and a modestly higher discount rate following recent research coverage, including the upgrade at Canaccord. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price target as better reflecting updated revenue assumptions, which feed directly into higher estimated cash flows over the life of Liontown's projects.Narrative Update • Jan 24
LTR: Execution And Commodity Price Risks Will Pressure Overextended Earnings Assumptions
Analysts have lifted their price target for Liontown from A$1.07 to A$1.63, citing adjustments to discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin forecasts and a lower future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models around the new A$1.63 price target are weighing both upside potential and execution risks around Liontown's growth plans and valuation reset.Analysis Article • Jan 17
Bullish: Analysts Just Made A Noticeable Upgrade To Their Liontown Limited (ASX:LTR) Forecasts
Liontown Limited ( ASX:LTR ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...Narrative Update • Dec 24
LTR: Higher Earnings Multiple Will Likely Prove Unsustainable Amid Moderating Outlook
Liontown's analyst price target has been lifted from A0.35 to A0.50 per share, as analysts factor in improved long term profit margins and a higher justified earnings multiple, despite moderating revenue growth expectations and a slightly higher discount rate. Valuation Changes Fair Value: raised from A$0.35 to A$0.50 per share, representing a substantial upward revision.Narrative Update • Dec 10
LTR: Higher Earnings Multiple Will Increase Future Downside Risk For Shares
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Liontown to reflect a higher fair value estimate of approximately $1.07 per share, up from about $0.95 per share. They cite slightly stronger long term margin expectations and a willingness to apply a richer future earnings multiple, despite marginally softer growth assumptions and a small increase in the discount rate.Narrative Update • Nov 25
LTR: Rising Earnings Multiples Will Increase Downside Risk For Shares
Analysts have raised their price target for Liontown Resources from $0.78 to $0.95 per share, citing stronger revenue growth expectations and improved profit margins in their updated forecasts. What's in the News Liontown Resources Limited appointed Greg Jason as Chief Financial Officer, effective from 18 December 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Nov 10
LTR: Rising Discount Rate Will Challenge Future Share Price Performance
Analysts have raised their price target for Liontown Resources from $0.70 to $0.78, citing improved revenue growth expectations and stronger projected profit margins as key factors. What's in the News Liontown Resources announced the appointment of Greg Jason as Chief Financial Officer, effective 18 December 2025.Narrative Update • Oct 27
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
Liontown Resources: Analyst Price Target Update Analysts have maintained Liontown Resources' fair value estimate at approximately $0.70 per share, citing only minor adjustments to discount rate and profit margin assumptions in their latest review. What's in the News Greg Jason appointed as Chief Financial Officer, effective 18 December 2025.Narrative Update • Oct 13
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
Narrative Update: Liontown Resources Analyst Price Target Adjusted Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Liontown Resources from $0.65 to $0.70 per share. This adjustment reflects updated expectations around discount rates, revenue growth, and profit margins.Analysis Article • Sep 27
AU$0.66 - That's What Analysts Think Liontown Resources Limited (ASX:LTR) Is Worth After These Results
Liontown Resources Limited ( ASX:LTR ) last week reported its latest full-year results, which makes it a good time for...Narrative Update • Sep 25
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
The consensus Analyst Price Target for Liontown Resources has risen to A$0.654, reflecting a significant improvement in net profit margin and a notable contraction in the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Greg Jason appointed as Chief Financial Officer effective 18 December 2025, bringing extensive international experience, particularly in mining and resources.Narrative Update • Aug 15
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
Liontown Resources’ future P/E ratio has dropped notably, reflecting improved earnings expectations, while the analyst price target remained unchanged at A$0.608. What's in the News Liontown Resources completed a follow-on equity offering totaling AUD 316 million, issuing over 432 million ordinary shares at AUD 0.73 per share via a subsequent direct listing.
New Narrative • Apr 26
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
Successful production increases and trials for higher lithium recovery are expected to boost revenue, optimize processing costs, and improve net margins.Analysis Article • Sep 04
A Look At The Fair Value Of Liontown Resources Limited (ASX:LTR)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Liontown Resources is AU$3.42 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Liontown makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 405 | -362 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 351 | -278 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 298 | -193 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 199 | -121 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 100 | -49 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 50 | -57 | 57 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 0 | -65 | 61 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 0 | -56 | 57 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 0 | -46 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 0 | -34 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 0 | -22 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 0 | -18 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 0 | -14 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 0 | 41 | 52 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 0 | 42 | 51 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 0 | 43 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 0 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 0 | -11 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 0 | -10 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 0 | -10 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 0 | -11 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 0 | -13 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 0 | -14 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 0 | -16 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 0 | -14 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 0 | -13 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 0 | -9 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 0 | -5 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 0 | -4 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 0 | -5 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: LTR is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: LTR is currently unprofitable.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: LTR is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 73.5% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare LTR's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: LTR is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Metals and Mining industry (59.9%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: LTR has a negative Return on Equity (-47.43%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/12 14:54 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Liontown Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Glyn Lawcock | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Josh Kannourakis | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Aryan Norozi | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |