Liontown (LTR) Stock Overview
Engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Australia. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
LTR Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 83 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Materials opportunity
ST
Fair Value from
CA$5.0768.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
An Undervalued 3.3Moz Gold Project in Canada
Key takeaways Upside Gold is developing the Kena Gold Project, near the town of Nelson in the Kootenays region of southern British Columbia. Kena hosts a historical gold resource of 3.33 million ounces (561,000 ounces Indicated and 2.77 million ounces Inferred) across a 10,200-hectare land package.
Read full narrativeLiontown Limited Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | AU$2.45 |
| 52 Week High | AU$2.64 |
| 52 Week Low | AU$0.55 |
| Beta | 1.36 |
| 1 Month Change | 28.27% |
| 3 Month Change | 46.71% |
| 1 Year Change | 285.83% |
| 3 Year Change | -17.51% |
| 5 Year Change | 469.77% |
| Change since IPO | 807.41% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 04
LTR: Lower Future P/E Will Expose Execution Risks At Premium Pricing
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Liontown from A$1.83 to A$2.05, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E in recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher fair value estimate of A$2.05 as reflecting updated expectations for Liontown's revenue generation and profitability, which they see as better aligning the stock with underlying project assumptions.Narrative Update • Apr 20
LTR: Project Execution Risks Will Test Rich Forward P/E Assumptions
Liontown's analyst price target has shifted from A$1.79 to A$1.83 as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and forward P/E following recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models around the A$1.83 price target are weighing both upside and risk around Liontown's revenue outlook, margin profile and the P/E multiples they are willing to apply.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 04
LTR: Lower Future P/E Will Expose Execution Risks At Premium Pricing
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Liontown from A$1.83 to A$2.05, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E in recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher fair value estimate of A$2.05 as reflecting updated expectations for Liontown's revenue generation and profitability, which they see as better aligning the stock with underlying project assumptions.Narrative Update • Apr 20
LTR: Project Execution Risks Will Test Rich Forward P/E Assumptions
Liontown's analyst price target has shifted from A$1.79 to A$1.83 as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and forward P/E following recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models around the A$1.83 price target are weighing both upside and risk around Liontown's revenue outlook, margin profile and the P/E multiples they are willing to apply.Narrative Update • Apr 06
LTR: Higher Discount Rate And Margins Will Test Refined Future P/E Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price target on Liontown to A$1.79, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher discount rates and revenue growth, along with modestly lower profit margins and a refined future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the updated A$1.79 price target highlights a mix of optimism and caution as analysts recalibrate their models for Liontown.Narrative Update • Mar 23
LTR: Higher P/E Outlook Will Reward Successful Execution Despite Raised Discount Rate
Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Liontown from about A$1.83 to A$1.79, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher discount rate, along with a revised future P/E outlook following recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Street research around the recent upgrade focuses on how updated revenue, margin and P/E assumptions line up with Liontown's current fair value and execution risks.
Narrative Update • Mar 08
LTR: Execution Risks And Higher Discount Rate Will Likely Cap Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their Liontown price target to A$0.82. This reflects updated assumptions for a slightly higher discount rate, revised revenue growth outlook and profit margin, along with a modest tweak to future P/E expectations.Narrative Update • Feb 22
LTR: Higher P/E And Thinner Margins Will Likely Cap Future Upside
Narrative Update on Liontown The updated analyst price target for Liontown rises from A$0.50 to A$0.82. Analysts point to higher assumed revenue growth of about 46% and a richer future P/E of about 23x.Narrative Update • Feb 08
LTR: Higher Revenue Assumptions Will Face Ongoing Execution And Pricing Risks
Analysts have lifted their price target for Liontown from A$1.63 to A$1.83, reflecting updated assumptions around higher revenue, slightly stronger profit margins and a modestly higher discount rate following recent research coverage, including the upgrade at Canaccord. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price target as better reflecting updated revenue assumptions, which feed directly into higher estimated cash flows over the life of Liontown's projects.Narrative Update • Jan 24
LTR: Execution And Commodity Price Risks Will Pressure Overextended Earnings Assumptions
Analysts have lifted their price target for Liontown from A$1.07 to A$1.63, citing adjustments to discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin forecasts and a lower future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models around the new A$1.63 price target are weighing both upside potential and execution risks around Liontown's growth plans and valuation reset.Analysis Article • Jan 17
Bullish: Analysts Just Made A Noticeable Upgrade To Their Liontown Limited (ASX:LTR) Forecasts
Liontown Limited ( ASX:LTR ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...Narrative Update • Dec 24
LTR: Higher Earnings Multiple Will Likely Prove Unsustainable Amid Moderating Outlook
Liontown's analyst price target has been lifted from A0.35 to A0.50 per share, as analysts factor in improved long term profit margins and a higher justified earnings multiple, despite moderating revenue growth expectations and a slightly higher discount rate. Valuation Changes Fair Value: raised from A$0.35 to A$0.50 per share, representing a substantial upward revision.Narrative Update • Dec 10
LTR: Higher Earnings Multiple Will Increase Future Downside Risk For Shares
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Liontown to reflect a higher fair value estimate of approximately $1.07 per share, up from about $0.95 per share. They cite slightly stronger long term margin expectations and a willingness to apply a richer future earnings multiple, despite marginally softer growth assumptions and a small increase in the discount rate.Narrative Update • Nov 25
LTR: Rising Earnings Multiples Will Increase Downside Risk For Shares
Analysts have raised their price target for Liontown Resources from $0.78 to $0.95 per share, citing stronger revenue growth expectations and improved profit margins in their updated forecasts. What's in the News Liontown Resources Limited appointed Greg Jason as Chief Financial Officer, effective from 18 December 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Nov 10
LTR: Rising Discount Rate Will Challenge Future Share Price Performance
Analysts have raised their price target for Liontown Resources from $0.70 to $0.78, citing improved revenue growth expectations and stronger projected profit margins as key factors. What's in the News Liontown Resources announced the appointment of Greg Jason as Chief Financial Officer, effective 18 December 2025.Narrative Update • Oct 27
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
Liontown Resources: Analyst Price Target Update Analysts have maintained Liontown Resources' fair value estimate at approximately $0.70 per share, citing only minor adjustments to discount rate and profit margin assumptions in their latest review. What's in the News Greg Jason appointed as Chief Financial Officer, effective 18 December 2025.Narrative Update • Oct 13
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
Narrative Update: Liontown Resources Analyst Price Target Adjusted Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Liontown Resources from $0.65 to $0.70 per share. This adjustment reflects updated expectations around discount rates, revenue growth, and profit margins.Analysis Article • Sep 27
AU$0.66 - That's What Analysts Think Liontown Resources Limited (ASX:LTR) Is Worth After These Results
Liontown Resources Limited ( ASX:LTR ) last week reported its latest full-year results, which makes it a good time for...Narrative Update • Sep 25
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
The consensus Analyst Price Target for Liontown Resources has risen to A$0.654, reflecting a significant improvement in net profit margin and a notable contraction in the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Greg Jason appointed as Chief Financial Officer effective 18 December 2025, bringing extensive international experience, particularly in mining and resources.Narrative Update • Aug 15
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
Liontown Resources’ future P/E ratio has dropped notably, reflecting improved earnings expectations, while the analyst price target remained unchanged at A$0.608. What's in the News Liontown Resources completed a follow-on equity offering totaling AUD 316 million, issuing over 432 million ordinary shares at AUD 0.73 per share via a subsequent direct listing.
New Narrative • Apr 26
Plant Upgrades And Underground Projects Will Achieve 70% Lithium Recovery
Successful production increases and trials for higher lithium recovery are expected to boost revenue, optimize processing costs, and improve net margins.Shareholder Returns
| LTR | AU Metals and Mining | AU Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -7.2% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| 1Y | 285.8% | 57.3% | 5.8% |
Return vs Industry: LTR exceeded the Australian Metals and Mining industry which returned 57.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: LTR exceeded the Australian Market which returned 5.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| LTR volatility | |
|---|---|
| LTR Average Weekly Movement | 11.1% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 12.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 10.5% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in AU Market | 17.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in AU Market | 4.5% |
Stable Share Price: LTR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.
Volatility Over Time: LTR's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 288 | Tony Ottaviano | www.liontown.com |
Liontown Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for lithium and nickel deposits. Its flagship property is the Kathleen Valley lithium project located in Perth, Western Australia.
Liontown Limited Fundamentals Summary
| LTR fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | AU$7.79b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -AU$362.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | AU$404.69m |
19.2x
P/S Ratio-21.5x
P/E RatioIs LTR overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| LTR income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | AU$404.69m |
| Cost of Revenue | AU$592.71m |
| Gross Profit | -AU$188.01m |
| Other Expenses | AU$173.99m |
| Earnings | -AU$362.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.11 |
| Gross Margin | -46.46% |
| Net Profit Margin | -89.45% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 110.1% |
How did LTR perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/09 03:39 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Liontown Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Glyn Lawcock | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Josh Kannourakis | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Aryan Norozi | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |