Stock Analysis

Would Kingsgate Consolidated (ASX:KCN) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

ASX:KCN
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Kingsgate Consolidated Limited (ASX:KCN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Kingsgate Consolidated

How Much Debt Does Kingsgate Consolidated Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Kingsgate Consolidated had AU$11.0m of debt in December 2021, down from AU$11.5m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$4.16m, its net debt is less, at about AU$6.85m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:KCN Debt to Equity History May 31st 2022

How Strong Is Kingsgate Consolidated's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kingsgate Consolidated had liabilities of AU$15.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$22.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$4.16m and AU$236.0k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$33.9m.

Given Kingsgate Consolidated has a market capitalization of AU$387.3m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Kingsgate Consolidated's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Kingsgate Consolidated finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Kingsgate Consolidated's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost AU$15m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$13m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kingsgate Consolidated (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kingsgate Consolidated might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.