Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

ASX:JHX
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that James Hardie Industries plc (ASX:JHX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for James Hardie Industries

What Is James Hardie Industries's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 James Hardie Industries had debt of US$933.8m, up from US$855.7m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$90.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$843.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:JHX Debt to Equity History December 22nd 2022

How Healthy Is James Hardie Industries' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that James Hardie Industries had liabilities of US$687.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.00b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$90.7m as well as receivables valued at US$350.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.25b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because James Hardie Industries is worth US$7.95b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

James Hardie Industries has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.83. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 23.7 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that James Hardie Industries grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine James Hardie Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, James Hardie Industries recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

James Hardie Industries's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like James Hardie Industries is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - James Hardie Industries has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.