Stock Analysis

Here's Why James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

ASX:JHX
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that James Hardie Industries plc (ASX:JHX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for James Hardie Industries

What Is James Hardie Industries's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 James Hardie Industries had US$1.14b of debt, an increase on US$988.1m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$433.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$701.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:JHX Debt to Equity History April 3rd 2024

How Strong Is James Hardie Industries' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that James Hardie Industries had liabilities of US$749.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.17b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$433.8m and US$318.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.17b.

Since publicly traded James Hardie Industries shares are worth a very impressive total of US$16.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

James Hardie Industries's net debt is only 0.65 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 44.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that James Hardie Industries has increased its EBIT by 9.6% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if James Hardie Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, James Hardie Industries's free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

James Hardie Industries's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that James Hardie Industries can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in James Hardie Industries, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:JHX

James Hardie Industries

James Hardie Industries plc manufactures and sells fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded building products for interior and exterior building construction applications primarily in the United States, Australia, Europe, New Zealand, and the Philippines.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.

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