Deterra Royalties Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Deterra Royalties's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 7.3% and 9.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 8.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 60.2% in 3 years.
Key information
-9.1%
Earnings growth rate
-8.71%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining earnings growth | 15.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | -7.3% |
| Future return on equity | 60.22% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 24
DRR: Royalty Cash Flows And Dividend Policy Will Support A Constructive Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Deterra Royalties slightly higher to A$4.56 from A$4.55, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins and P/E multiples, supported by recent bullish Street research coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research takes a constructive view on Deterra Royalties, pointing to updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins and P/E multiples as key drivers behind the slightly higher price target of A$4.56.Narrative Update • Apr 10
DRR: Stable Dividend And Royalty Volumes Will Underpin A Measured Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their A$ fair value estimate for Deterra Royalties slightly, with a modest shift in assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E contributing to a small reduction in the overall price target. What's in the News The board declared an interim dividend of A$0.124 per share, fully franked, for the six months ended 31 December 2025, with payment scheduled for 24 March 2026 and a record date of 25 February 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 25
DRR: Dividend And Royalty Volumes Will Support A Positive Forward Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Deterra Royalties slightly, citing a modestly lower discount rate and a largely unchanged long term revenue, margin and future P/E profile that keeps their A$ fair value view effectively steady. What's in the News The Board declared an interim dividend of A$0.124 per share, fully franked, for the six months ended 31 December 2025, with payment scheduled for 24 March 2026, record date on 25 February 2026, and ex date on 24 February 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 10
DRR: Dividend And Royalty Volumes Will Support A Positive Forward Outlook
Analysts have made a small adjustment to their fair value estimate for Deterra Royalties to A$4.55. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and P/E assumptions, along with marginal tweaks to revenue growth and profit margin expectations.Narrative Update • Feb 23
DRR: Dividend Declaration And Royalty Volumes Will Support A Measured Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target on Deterra Royalties slightly higher, citing small adjustments to fair value estimates to A$4.54, a modestly lower discount rate, and updated assumptions for revenue contraction, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News The Board declared an interim dividend of A$0.124 per share, fully franked, for the six months to 31 December 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 08
DRR: Stable Assumptions And Recent Production Data Will Guide Balanced Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Deterra Royalties slightly higher to reflect a small uplift in fair value to 4.51, a modestly adjusted discount rate and revenue decline assumptions, a marginally stronger profit margin of about 61.75%, and a P/E expectation now near 21.57x. What's in the News Deterra Royalties reported that BHP recorded MAC production for December 2025 of 38.0 Mwmt on a 100% basis, providing a clear view of the most recent monthly production volume (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jan 30
A Look At The Fair Value Of Deterra Royalties Limited (ASX:DRR)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Deterra Royalties is AU$5.05 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Narrative Update • Jan 24
DRR: Leadership Change And Stable Assumptions Will Guide Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Deterra Royalties to align with a small uplift in fair value to 4.485, supported by slightly firmer long term revenue and profit margin assumptions, along with a nearly unchanged discount rate and a future P/E of about 21.45x. What's in the News Founding Managing Director and CEO, Julian Andrews, plans to step down from Deterra Royalties by the end of the calendar year for personal reasons, after leading the company since its demerger and ASX listing in October 2020 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 10
DRR: Leadership Transition And Updated Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price target on Deterra Royalties to A$4.40 from A$4.28, citing updated assumptions that reflect a higher discount rate, softer revenue growth expectations, a slightly higher profit margin and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Founding Managing Director and CEO Julian Andrews has informed the Board that he intends to step down for personal reasons by the end of the calendar year, after leading Deterra Royalties since its demerger and ASX listing in October 2020 (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Sep 25
Estimating The Fair Value Of Deterra Royalties Limited (ASX:DRR)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Deterra Royalties fair value estimate is AU$4.50 Current share...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Deterra Royalties Limited (ASX:DRR) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Deterra Royalties Limited's ( ASX:DRR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16x might make it look like a buy right...Analysis Article • May 13
Does Deterra Royalties (ASX:DRR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Mar 18
Deterra Royalties Limited's (ASX:DRR) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business
When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider...
New Narrative • Feb 19
Expansions At MAC And Thacker Pass May Shape Future Prospects Amid Analyst Skepticism
Expansion at Mining Area C and Thacker Pass promises potential revenue growth through increased production and supportive lithium royalty frameworks.Analysis Article • Nov 11
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Deterra Royalties Limited (ASX:DRR)
Key Insights Deterra Royalties' estimated fair value is AU$3.70 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Deterra...Analysis Article • Aug 29
Deterra Royalties' (ASX:DRR) Earnings Seem To Be Promising
Deterra Royalties Limited ( ASX:DRR ) announced a healthy earnings result recently, and the market rewarded it with a...Analysis Article • Jul 21
A Look At The Fair Value Of Deterra Royalties Limited (ASX:DRR)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Deterra Royalties is AU$3.87 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • Feb 21
Deterra Royalties' (ASX:DRR) Dividend Will Be A$0.1489
Deterra Royalties Limited ( ASX:DRR ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of A$0.1489 per share on the 21st of...Analysis Article • Dec 20
Deterra Royalties Limited's (ASX:DRR) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 19x in Australia, you could be forgiven for feeling...Analysis Article • Aug 19
Deterra Royalties (ASX:DRR) Is Reducing Its Dividend To A$0.1685
Deterra Royalties Limited ( ASX:DRR ) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to A$0.1685 on the...Analysis Article • Jun 09
Should You Be Adding Deterra Royalties (ASX:DRR) To Your Watchlist Today?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • Feb 23
Deterra Royalties Limited's (ASX:DRR) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
Deterra Royalties Limited's ( ASX:DRR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.6x might make it look like a buy right...Analysis Article • Aug 28
Deterra Royalties' (ASX:DRR) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Deterra Royalties Limited ( ASX:DRR ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we...Analysis Article • Aug 26
Calculating The Fair Value Of Deterra Royalties Limited (ASX:DRR)
Does the August share price for Deterra Royalties Limited ( ASX:DRR ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will...Analysis Article • Jun 07
Does Deterra Royalties (ASX:DRR) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story...Analysis Article • Mar 27
Deterra Royalties Limited's (ASX:DRR) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 18% Below Its Share Price
How far off is Deterra Royalties Limited ( ASX:DRR ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data...Analysis Article • Feb 24
Deterra Royalties' (ASX:DRR) Dividend Will Be Increased To AU$0.12
The board of Deterra Royalties Limited ( ASX:DRR ) has announced that the dividend on 31st of March will be increased...Analysis Article • Nov 08
Is Deterra Royalties Limited (ASX:DRR) Worth AU$4.0 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Deterra Royalties Limited ( ASX:DRR ) by estimating the...Analysis Article • Aug 19
Deterra Royalties Limited (ASX:DRR) Just Reported Annual Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?
Deterra Royalties Limited ( ASX:DRR ) just released its yearly report and things are looking bullish. The company beat...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 229 | 142 | 151 | 145 | 10 |
| 6/30/2027 | 227 | 140 | 145 | 143 | 11 |
| 6/30/2026 | 242 | 154 | 199 | 163 | 11 |
| 12/31/2025 | 272 | 179 | 171 | 173 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 268 | 167 | 152 | 154 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 263 | 156 | 133 | 135 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 249 | 148 | 133 | 134 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 234 | 140 | 134 | 134 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 237 | 147 | 152 | 152 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 241 | 155 | 170 | 170 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 246 | 161 | 163 | 163 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 252 | 168 | 157 | 157 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 241 | 160 | 169 | 170 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 229 | 152 | 182 | 182 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 249 | 166 | 177 | 177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 269 | 180 | 172 | 172 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 267 | 179 | 150 | 150 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 265 | 178 | 128 | 128 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 173 | 115 | 115 | 113 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 154 | 101 | 84 | 95 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 134 | 87 | 53 | 76 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 92 | 59 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 89 | 57 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 86 | 55 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 56 | 34 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: DRR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.1% per year).
Earnings vs Market: DRR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: DRR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: DRR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-7.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: DRR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-7.3% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: DRR's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (60.2%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 22:02 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Deterra Royalties Limited is covered by 22 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Daniel Morgan | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Glyn Lawcock | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |