Stock Analysis

Catalyst Metals Limited (ASX:CYL) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Despite an already strong run, Catalyst Metals Limited (ASX:CYL) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 772% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Catalyst Metals may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 59.7x and even P/S higher than 302x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Catalyst Metals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:CYL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 19th 2025
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What Does Catalyst Metals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Catalyst Metals as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Catalyst Metals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Catalyst Metals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. The amazing performance means it was also able to deliver huge revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 33% per year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 193% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Catalyst Metals' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Catalyst Metals' P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Catalyst Metals have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Catalyst Metals maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Catalyst Metals that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:CYL

Catalyst Metals

Engages in the mineral exploration and evaluation in Australia.

Exceptional growth potential and undervalued.

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