Stock Analysis

Capricorn Metals Ltd's (ASX:CMM) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX:CMM) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Metals and Mining companies in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 91x and even P/S above 512x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Capricorn Metals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:CMM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 25th 2024
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What Does Capricorn Metals' Recent Performance Look Like?

Capricorn Metals could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Capricorn Metals will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Capricorn Metals' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Capricorn Metals' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, even though the last 12 month performance was only fair. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 514% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Capricorn Metals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Capricorn Metals' P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As expected, our analysis of Capricorn Metals' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Capricorn Metals that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:CMM

Capricorn Metals

Explores, develops, evaluates, and produces gold in Australia.

Exceptional growth potential with flawless balance sheet.

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