Stock Analysis

Cokal (ASX:CKA) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Cokal Limited (ASX:CKA) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Cokal

What Is Cokal's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cokal had debt of US$2.59m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from US$11.3m over a year. However, it does have US$306.5k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$2.29m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:CKA Debt to Equity History March 17th 2021

A Look At Cokal's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Cokal had liabilities of US$18.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$32.1k due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$306.5k as well as receivables valued at US$10.1k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$18.1m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Cokal has a market capitalization of US$50.1m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Cokal will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Cokal reported revenue of US$9.3m, which is a gain of 97%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Cokal still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$3.0m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$2.1m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Cokal (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


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About ASX:CKA

Cokal

Engages in the identification, exploration, and development of coal in Indonesia, Australia, and Tanzania.

Moderate risk and overvalued.

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