Chalice Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Chalice Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.5% and 23.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 43.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -9.5% in 3 years.

Key information

8.5%

Earnings growth rate

43.9%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	10.5%
Revenue growth rate	23.8%
Future return on equity	-9.5%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	14 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

We're Hopeful That Chalice Mining (ASX:CHN) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

May 04

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Chalice Mining's (ASX:CHN) Cash Burn Situation

Jan 29

It May Be Possible That Chalice Mining Limited's (ASX:CHN) CEO Compensation Could Get Bumped Up

Nov 16

We Think Chalice Mining (ASX:CHN) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

Oct 04

Shareholders Will Probably Not Have Any Issues With Chalice Mining Limited's (ASX:CHN) CEO Compensation

Nov 17

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:CHN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	N/A	-45	-36	-36	1
6/30/2026	0	-15	-15	-14	2
6/30/2025	0	-18	-24	-18	2
6/30/2024	N/A	-39	-49	-44	N/A
3/31/2024	0	-50	-54	-49	N/A
12/31/2023	1	-60	-60	-55	N/A
9/30/2023	1	-63	-60	-57	N/A
6/30/2023	N/A	-66	-60	-60	N/A
3/31/2023	0	-67	-62	-61	N/A
12/31/2022	1	-68	-65	-63	N/A
9/30/2022	1	-43	-67	-62	N/A
6/30/2022	1	-18	-70	-62	N/A
3/31/2022	0	-14	-73	-59	N/A
12/31/2021	0	-10	-77	-56	N/A
9/30/2021	0	-27	-68	-47	N/A
6/30/2021	1	-43	-60	-38	N/A
3/31/2021	1	-33	-44	-29	N/A
12/31/2020	1	-23	-28	-21	N/A
9/30/2020	1	-17	-19	-15	N/A
6/30/2020	0	-11	-10	-10	N/A
3/31/2020	0	-10	-10	-9	N/A
12/31/2019	0	-9	-9	-9	N/A
9/30/2019	0	-8	-9	-9	N/A
6/30/2019	0	-7	-9	-9	N/A
12/31/2018	0	-5	-12	-11	N/A
9/30/2018	1	-7	-14	-13	N/A
6/30/2018	1	-9	-16	-15	N/A
3/31/2018	1	-13	N/A	-12	N/A
12/31/2017	1	-9	N/A	-9	N/A
9/30/2017	1	-7	N/A	-7	N/A
6/30/2017	0	-5	N/A	-4	N/A
12/31/2016	0	-6	N/A	-3	N/A
9/30/2016	0	-5	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2016	0	-4	N/A	-1	N/A
12/31/2015	1	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
9/30/2015	1	0	N/A	-1	N/A
6/30/2015	1	0	N/A	-2	N/A
12/31/2014	0	-11	N/A	-2	N/A
9/30/2014	0	-11	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2014	0	-11	N/A	-2	N/A
12/31/2013	0	4	N/A	-2	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CHN is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: CHN is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: CHN is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CHN's revenue (23.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CHN's revenue (23.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CHN is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/21 12:00
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Chalice Mining Limited is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Glyn Lawcock	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Richard Knights	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
April Lowis	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Chalice Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to AU$0.061 loss

Price target increased by 19% to AU$2.79

Price target increased by 11% to AU$2.60

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 245%

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to AU$0.031 loss

Price target decreased by 10% to AU$2.63

Recent updates

Insufficient new directors

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to AU$0.061 loss

Chalice Mining Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 21, 2024

Chalice Mining Limited Announces Board Resignations, Effective 31 August 2024

Price target increased by 19% to AU$2.79

Price target increased by 11% to AU$2.60

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 245%

First half 2024 earnings released: AU$0.073 loss per share (vs AU$0.09 loss in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to AU$0.031 loss

Price target decreased by 10% to AU$2.63

Chalice Mining Limited Announces Resignation of Morgan Ball as A Non-Executive Director

Price target decreased by 8.4% to AU$2.71

Chalice Mining Limited Provides Panton Scoping Study

Chalice Mining Limited Provides Panton Scoping Study

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 19%

Price target decreased by 12% to AU$2.96

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to AU$0.029 loss

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 77%, EPS upgraded

Full year 2023 earnings released: AU$0.17 loss per share (vs AU$0.052 loss in FY 2022)

Chalice Mining Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 23, 2023

Insider recently bought AU$32m worth of stock

Price target decreased by 13% to AU$6.56

Chalice Mining Lures Australian Miners, Overseas Carmakers for Sale Process

Suitors Reportedly Prepare to Lob Bids for Chalice

Stavely Minerals Limited (ASX:SVY) entered into Non-binding Term Sheet to acquire North West Nickel Pty Ltd from Chalice Mining Limited (ASX:CHN) for AUD 1.4 million.

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to AU$0.14 loss

We're Hopeful That Chalice Mining (ASX:CHN) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 33%, EPS downgraded

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 33%, EPS downgraded

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold AU$207k worth of stock

First half 2023 earnings released: AU$0.09 loss per share (vs AU$0.047 profit in 1H 2022)

Price target decreased by 8.0% to AU$7.54

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Chalice Mining's (ASX:CHN) Cash Burn Situation

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold AU$7.7m worth of stock

Chalice Mining Limited Provides Update on Technical and Development Studies at its 100%-Owned Julimar Nickel-Copper-Platinum Group Element Project

Chalice Mining Limited Provides an Update on Exploration Activities At Its 100%-Owned Julimar Nickel-Copper-Platinum Group Element (Pge) Project

Chalice Mining Limited Commences EM Surveys to Delineate Nickel-Copper-PGE Drill Targets for Drilling At Venture's South West Project

Chalice Mining Limited Provides Update on Exploration Activities at its 100%-Owned Julimar Nickel-Copper-Platinum Group Element (PGE) Project

It May Be Possible That Chalice Mining Limited's (ASX:CHN) CEO Compensation Could Get Bumped Up

High number of new directors

Chalice Mining Limited Provides an Update on Exploration Activities At Its 100%-Owned Julimar Nickel-Copper-Platinum Group Element (PGE) Project, Located ~70Km North-East of Perth in Western Australia

We Think Chalice Mining (ASX:CHN) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Chalice Mining Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 23, 2022

Chalice Mining Provides an Update on Exploration and Pre-Development Activities At Its 100%-Owned Julimar Nickel-Copper-Platinum Group Element Project

Chalice Mining Provides an Update on Exploration and Pre-Development Activities At Its 100%-Owned Julimar Nickel-Copper-Platinum Group Element Project

High number of new directors

Chalice Mining Limited Appoints Jo Gaines as Non-Executive Director

Chalice Mining Limited Appoints Jo Gaines as Non-Executive Director

Insider recently sold AU$25m worth of stock

Consensus forecasts updated

Chalice Mining Limited Receives Results from the Recently Completed Auger Soil Geochemistry Program

Chalice Mining Limited Updates Mineral Resource Estimate (Resource) for the Gonneville Deposit

Chalice Mining Limited Provides Update on New Mineralised Zone Intersected At Dampier Target

Price target decreased to AU$8.13

No longer forecast to breakeven

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently bought AU$51k worth of stock

Price target decreased to AU$9.23

Consensus forecasts updated

Chalice Mining Limited announced that it expects to receive AUD 100.000002 million in funding

Chalice Mining Limited Announces Julimar Exploration Access Update

Chalice Mining Limited provides an update on exploration activities at its 100%-owned Julimar Nickel-Copper-Platinum Group Element (PGE) Project

Chalice Mining Limited Announces EM Survey Returns Multiple New Targets At Venture's Julimar Lookalike Nickel-Copper-PGE Project

Chalice Mining Limited Announces Diamond Drilling Commences At Hartog

High number of new directors

Chalice Mining Limited Announces the Government of Western Australia Approves the Stage 2 Conservation Management Plan for Initial Low-Impact Drilling At the Hartog and Baudin Targets At Julimar Ni-Cu-PGE Project, Western Australia

Price target increased to AU$10.34

Independent Non-Executive Director Stephen Quin has left the company

Founder & Non-Executive Chairman Timothy Rupert Goyder has left the company

Chalice Mining Limited Appoints Soolim Carney as General Manager Environment and Community