Stock Analysis

Buxton Resources (ASX:BUX) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

ASX:BUX
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. By way of example, Buxton Resources (ASX:BUX) has seen its share price rise 105% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Buxton Resources' cash burn is. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

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How Long Is Buxton Resources' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Buxton Resources last reported its balance sheet in June 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$4.1m. In the last year, its cash burn was AU$2.9m. Therefore, from June 2023 it had roughly 17 months of cash runway. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:BUX Debt to Equity History October 27th 2023

How Is Buxton Resources' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Buxton Resources has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced AU$2.4m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by a very significant 76%. While this spending increase is no doubt intended to drive growth, if the trend continues the company's cash runway will shrink very quickly. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Buxton Resources is growing revenue over time by checking this visualization of past revenue growth.

How Easily Can Buxton Resources Raise Cash?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Buxton Resources shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Buxton Resources has a market capitalisation of AU$37m and burnt through AU$2.9m last year, which is 7.8% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

Is Buxton Resources' Cash Burn A Worry?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Buxton Resources' cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. Its important for readers to be cognizant of the risks that can affect the company's operations, and we've picked out 4 warning signs for Buxton Resources that investors should know when investing in the stock.

Of course Buxton Resources may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Buxton Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.