Stock Analysis

Improved Revenues Required Before Boart Longyear Group Ltd. (ASX:BLY) Stock's 32% Jump Looks Justified

ASX:BLY
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Boart Longyear Group Ltd. (ASX:BLY) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 32% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Even after such a large jump in price, Boart Longyear Group may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 98.7x and even P/S higher than 567x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Boart Longyear Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:BLY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 27th 2023

How Has Boart Longyear Group Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Boart Longyear Group, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Boart Longyear Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Boart Longyear Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Boart Longyear Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Boart Longyear Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.5% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 59% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 40% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Boart Longyear Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Boart Longyear Group's P/S

Boart Longyear Group's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Boart Longyear Group revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Boart Longyear Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Boart Longyear Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.