The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Amani Gold Limited (ASX:ANL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Amani Gold
How Much Debt Does Amani Gold Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Amani Gold had AU$2.10m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$534.5k, its net debt is less, at about AU$1.57m.
A Look At Amani Gold's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Amani Gold had liabilities of AU$1.19m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$2.10m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$534.5k in cash and AU$380.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$2.37m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Amani Gold shares are worth a total of AU$21.6m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Amani Gold's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Amani Gold has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Amani Gold produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$4.5m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$5.7m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 6 warning signs for Amani Gold (4 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About ASX:ANL
Amani Gold
Amani Gold Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Excellent balance sheet medium.