Amcor Valuation

Is AMC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMC (A$15.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$30.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMC?

Key metric: As AMC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMC. This is calculated by dividing AMC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.1x
EarningsUS$766.00m
Market CapUS$14.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.3x
NCM Newcrest Mining
17.2x12.2%AU$20.8b
JHX James Hardie Industries
35.5x17.7%AU$24.0b
NST Northern Star Resources
30.4x15.1%AU$19.4b
FMG Fortescue
6.2x-27.1%AU$54.6b
AMC Amcor
19.1x6.9%AU$14.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the peer average (24x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Packaging Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AMC 19.1xIndustry Avg. 17.0xNo. of Companies45PE01224364860+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the Global Packaging industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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