Stock Analysis

Does Audalia Resources (ASX:ACP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ASX:ACP
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Audalia Resources Limited (ASX:ACP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Audalia Resources

What Is Audalia Resources's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2022 Audalia Resources had debt of AU$5.09m, up from AU$4.36m in one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:ACP Debt to Equity History June 21st 2023

How Healthy Is Audalia Resources' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Audalia Resources had liabilities of AU$1.09m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$7.46m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$39.9k and AU$26.5k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$8.48m.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of AU$7.61m, we think shareholders really should watch Audalia Resources's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Audalia Resources will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Since Audalia Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Audalia Resources had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$360k. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through AU$1.1m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Audalia Resources that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Audalia Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.