Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding The Hydration Pharmaceuticals Company Limited (ASX:HPC)

ASX:HPC
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The Hydration Pharmaceuticals Company Limited's (ASX:HPC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Personal Products industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.9x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Hydration Pharmaceuticals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:HPC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 2nd 2024

What Does Hydration Pharmaceuticals' Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at Hydration Pharmaceuticals over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hydration Pharmaceuticals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Hydration Pharmaceuticals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 10%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 167% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Hydration Pharmaceuticals' P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does Hydration Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We're very surprised to see Hydration Pharmaceuticals currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 6 warning signs for Hydration Pharmaceuticals you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hydration Pharmaceuticals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.