Lumos Diagnostics Holdings Limited (ASX:LDX) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Those holding Lumos Diagnostics Holdings Limited (ASX:LDX) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 46% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Lumos Diagnostics Holdings may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
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How Lumos Diagnostics Holdings Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Lumos Diagnostics Holdings has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Lumos Diagnostics Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 79% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 6.2% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.1% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 17% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Lumos Diagnostics Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Lumos Diagnostics Holdings' P/S?
Shares in Lumos Diagnostics Holdings have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As expected, our analysis of Lumos Diagnostics Holdings' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Lumos Diagnostics Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Lumos Diagnostics Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.