- Australia
- /
- Healthcare Services
- /
- ASX:HLS
Healius (ASX:HLS) shareholders are up 14% this past week, but still in the red over the last five years
Healius Limited (ASX:HLS) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 23% in the last month. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. The share price has failed to impress anyone , down a sizable 73% during that time. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. However, in the best case scenario (far from fait accompli), this improved performance might be sustained.
On a more encouraging note the company has added AU$87m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
Because Healius made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
In the last five years Healius saw its revenue shrink by 3.9% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. If a business loses money, you want it to grow, so no surprises that the share price has dropped 12% each year in that time. It takes a certain kind of mental fortitude (or recklessness) to buy shares in a company that loses money and doesn't grow revenue. That is not really what the successful investors we know aim for.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Healius will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Healius' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Healius' TSR, which was a 57% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 5.8% in the last year, Healius shareholders lost 2.7%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 9% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Healius might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:HLS
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.
Similar Companies
Market Insights
Community Narratives


Recently Updated Narratives

Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight

MINISO's fair value is projected at 26.69 with an anticipated PE ratio shift of 20x

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid
Popular Narratives

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success
