Stock Analysis

Is TasFoods (ASX:TFL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

ASX:TFL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that TasFoods Limited (ASX:TFL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for TasFoods

What Is TasFoods's Debt?

As you can see below, TasFoods had AU$6.55m of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have AU$999.0k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$5.55m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:TFL Debt to Equity History October 5th 2023

How Strong Is TasFoods' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that TasFoods had liabilities of AU$16.7m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$5.53m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$999.0k in cash and AU$4.70m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$16.6m.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's AU$12.7m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine TasFoods's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year TasFoods wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 8.5%, to AU$75m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months TasFoods produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$7.7m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of AU$6.2m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with TasFoods .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TasFoods is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.