Stock Analysis

Is TasFoods (ASX:TFL) Using Too Much Debt?

ASX:TFL
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, TasFoods Limited (ASX:TFL) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for TasFoods

How Much Debt Does TasFoods Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 TasFoods had AU$7.47m of debt, an increase on AU$5.82m, over one year. On the flip side, it has AU$1.45m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$6.02m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:TFL Debt to Equity History March 3rd 2022

How Healthy Is TasFoods' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that TasFoods had liabilities of AU$12.2m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$7.93m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$1.45m in cash and AU$4.97m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$13.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

TasFoods has a market capitalization of AU$26.4m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since TasFoods will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, TasFoods reported revenue of AU$70m, which is a gain of 3.9%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, TasFoods had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$6.5m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$6.9m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that TasFoods is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.