Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For The Original Juice Co. Ltd (ASX:OJC) As Its Stock Soars 36%

ASX:OJC
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Despite an already strong run, The Original Juice Co. Ltd (ASX:OJC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 36% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 14% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Original Juice's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in Australia, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Original Juice

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:OJC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 5th 2024

What Does Original Juice's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Original Juice over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Original Juice will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Original Juice will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Original Juice would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. The latest three year period has also seen a 22% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 6.1% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Original Juice is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.

The Key Takeaway

Original Juice appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It appears to us that Original Juice maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. Currently, with a past revenue trend that aligns closely wit the industry outlook, shareholders are confident the company's future revenue outlook won't contain any major surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Original Juice that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Original Juice's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.