Stock Analysis

Is Original Juice (ASX:OJC) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

ASX:OJC
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies The Original Juice Co. Ltd (ASX:OJC) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Original Juice

What Is Original Juice's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Original Juice had AU$6.34m of debt, an increase on AU$5.86m, over one year. On the flip side, it has AU$733.9k in cash leading to net debt of about AU$5.61m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:OJC Debt to Equity History April 8th 2023

A Look At Original Juice's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Original Juice had liabilities of AU$12.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$13.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$733.9k as well as receivables valued at AU$2.60m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$22.4m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of AU$23.7m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Original Juice's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Original Juice's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Original Juice reported revenue of AU$37m, which is a gain of 11%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Original Juice produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$2.2m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of AU$3.0m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Original Juice (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.