Stock Analysis

Food Revolution Group (ASX:FOD) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

ASX:OJC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, The Food Revolution Group Limited (ASX:FOD) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Food Revolution Group

How Much Debt Does Food Revolution Group Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Food Revolution Group had AU$5.86m of debt in December 2021, down from AU$6.86m, one year before. However, it also had AU$878.3k in cash, and so its net debt is AU$4.98m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:FOD Debt to Equity History March 29th 2022

How Healthy Is Food Revolution Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Food Revolution Group had liabilities of AU$12.7m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$10.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$878.3k and AU$1.71m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total AU$20.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of AU$23.7m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Food Revolution Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Food Revolution Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to AU$33m, which is a fall of 12%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

While Food Revolution Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$2.8m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$5.2m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Food Revolution Group is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.