Stock Analysis

Clean Seas Seafood Limited's (ASX:CSS) 29% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

ASX:CSS
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Clean Seas Seafood Limited (ASX:CSS) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 51% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Clean Seas Seafood's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in Australia, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Clean Seas Seafood

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:CSS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 11th 2024

How Has Clean Seas Seafood Performed Recently?

Clean Seas Seafood could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Clean Seas Seafood.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Clean Seas Seafood?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Clean Seas Seafood's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 42% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.8% each year during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 5.8% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Clean Seas Seafood's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Clean Seas Seafood's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given that Clean Seas Seafood's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Clean Seas Seafood that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.