Whitehaven Coal Limited

CHIA:WHC Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$5.7b

Whitehaven Coal Valuation

Is WHC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WHC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WHC (A$6.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$18.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WHC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WHC?

Key metric: As WHC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WHC. This is calculated by dividing WHC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WHC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.2x
EarningsAU$355.00m
Market CapAU$5.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WHC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WHC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18x
YAL Yancoal Australia
6.7x-1.1%AU$8.4b
NHC New Hope
8.8x-1.3%AU$4.2b
BOE Boss Energy
28x32.1%AU$1.2b
PDN Paladin Energy
28.6x30.1%AU$2.4b
WHC Whitehaven Coal
16.2x17.8%AU$5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WHC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WHC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FAR FAR
0.7xn/aUS$29.40m
IKW Ikwezi Mining
1.7xn/aUS$12.55m
XST Xstate Resources
0.7xn/aUS$1.87m
No more companies available in this PE range
WHC 16.2xIndustry Avg. 11.3xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WHC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WHC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WHC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.2x
Fair PE Ratio13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WHC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WHC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$6.89
AU$8.77
+27.4%
7.0%AU$9.65AU$7.75n/a15
Nov ’25AU$6.93
AU$8.77
+26.6%
7.0%AU$9.65AU$7.75n/a15
Oct ’25AU$7.26
AU$8.69
+19.7%
10.3%AU$10.00AU$6.80n/a15
Sep ’25AU$6.70
AU$8.88
+32.6%
11.1%AU$10.35AU$6.80n/a14
Aug ’25AU$7.81
AU$9.39
+20.3%
9.9%AU$10.90AU$7.80n/a14
Jul ’25AU$8.11
AU$9.11
+12.4%
11.5%AU$11.40AU$7.40n/a14
Jun ’25AU$8.03
AU$8.91
+11.0%
10.7%AU$11.40AU$7.40n/a14
May ’25AU$7.69
AU$8.87
+15.3%
11.0%AU$11.40AU$7.40n/a13
Apr ’25AU$7.10
AU$8.19
+15.3%
17.0%AU$11.40AU$6.00n/a12
Mar ’25AU$7.06
AU$8.20
+16.1%
16.9%AU$11.40AU$6.00n/a12
Feb ’25AU$8.30
AU$8.43
+1.6%
16.6%AU$11.40AU$6.20n/a12
Jan ’25AU$7.44
AU$8.32
+11.8%
19.0%AU$12.00AU$6.30n/a12
Dec ’24AU$7.28
AU$8.24
+13.2%
18.8%AU$12.00AU$6.30n/a12
Nov ’24AU$7.25
AU$8.08
+11.4%
13.4%AU$10.00AU$6.30AU$6.9312
Oct ’24AU$7.15
AU$7.14
-0.2%
16.0%AU$9.80AU$5.20AU$7.2613
Sep ’24AU$6.35
AU$7.29
+14.9%
13.6%AU$9.50AU$6.00AU$6.7013
Aug ’24AU$6.93
AU$7.94
+14.6%
11.9%AU$9.60AU$6.00AU$7.8113
Jul ’24AU$6.74
AU$8.10
+20.2%
10.8%AU$9.80AU$6.75AU$8.1114
Jun ’24AU$5.80
AU$8.44
+45.6%
10.1%AU$9.80AU$7.00AU$8.0313
May ’24AU$7.41
AU$8.64
+16.6%
10.4%AU$10.00AU$7.00AU$7.6913
Apr ’24AU$6.73
AU$9.72
+44.5%
10.2%AU$11.25AU$8.15AU$7.1014
Mar ’24AU$7.19
AU$10.04
+39.6%
10.8%AU$12.00AU$8.15AU$7.0614
Feb ’24AU$8.28
AU$11.64
+40.5%
11.6%AU$15.00AU$9.80AU$8.3015
Jan ’24AU$9.48
AU$11.41
+20.3%
13.2%AU$15.00AU$9.00AU$7.4415
Dec ’23AU$9.88
AU$11.16
+13.0%
15.4%AU$15.00AU$8.00AU$7.2815
Nov ’23AU$9.15
AU$11.45
+25.1%
15.2%AU$15.00AU$8.50AU$7.2515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

New Hope

AU$4.2b

Explores for, develops, produces, and processes coal, and oil and gas properties.

NHC

AU$4.95

7D

7.1%

1Y

-4.6%

Vintage Energy

AU$11.7m

Acquires, explores for, and develops oil and gas properties in Australia.

VEN

AU$0.007

7D

16.7%

1Y

-75.9%

Horizon Oil

AU$301.0m

Engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties in China, New Zealand, and Australia.

HZN

AU$0.19

7D

2.7%

1Y

22.6%