Yancoal Australia Ltd

ASX:YAL Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$8.3b

Yancoal Australia Valuation

Is YAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YAL (A$6.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$11.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YAL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YAL?

Key metric: As YAL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YAL. This is calculated by dividing YAL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YAL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.5x
EarningsAU$1.27b
Market CapAU$8.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YAL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YAL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.7x
WHC Whitehaven Coal
14.1x20.7%AU$5.0b
NHC New Hope
8.9x0.8%AU$4.2b
BOE Boss Energy
20.9x32.2%AU$934.1m
PDN Paladin Energy
27.1x30.1%AU$2.3b
YAL Yancoal Australia
6.5x0.6%AU$8.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (17.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YAL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FAR FAR
0.8xn/aUS$30.05m
IKW Ikwezi Mining
1.7xn/aUS$12.55m
XST Xstate Resources
0.7xn/aUS$1.89m
No more companies available in this PE range
YAL 6.5xIndustry Avg. 11.3xNo. of Companies4PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YAL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YAL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.5x
Fair PE Ratio10.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 23:00
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Yancoal Australia Ltd is covered by 17 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Cho Ming LauBOCI Research Ltd.
Peter O'ConnorBofA Global Research