Boss Energy Limited

CHIA:BOE Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.5b

Boss Energy Valuation

Is BOE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BOE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
AU$10.36
Fair Value
65.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BOE (A$3.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$10.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BOE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BOE?

Key metric: As BOE is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BOE. This is calculated by dividing BOE's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BOE's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio31.1x
SalesAU$47.79m
Market CapAU$1.49b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BOE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BOE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
PDN Paladin Energy
10.5x34.05%AU$2.3b
NHC New Hope
1.6x0.50%AU$3.1b
WHC Whitehaven Coal
0.8x2.06%AU$4.5b
STX Strike Energy
6.8x31.59%AU$501.7m
BOE Boss Energy
31.1x36.49%AU$1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BOE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (31.1x) compared to the peer average (4.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BOE's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

34 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WDS Woodside Energy Group
2x0.38%US$26.42b
STO Santos
2.5x7.43%US$13.22b
YAL Yancoal Australia
1x-1.39%US$4.29b
ALD Ampol
0.2x-2.17%US$4.06b
BOE 31.1xIndustry Avg. 7.2xNo. of Companies34PS020406080100+
34 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BOE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (31.1x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (7.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BOE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BOE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio31.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BOE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (31.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BOE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$3.60
AU$3.96
+9.94%
22.71%AU$6.00AU$2.70n/a14
May ’26AU$3.37
AU$3.79
+12.44%
21.36%AU$5.15AU$2.45n/a13
Apr ’26AU$2.42
AU$3.90
+61.33%
21.44%AU$5.35AU$2.90n/a12
Mar ’26AU$2.48
AU$4.16
+67.56%
20.84%AU$5.65AU$2.95n/a9
Feb ’26AU$3.28
AU$4.18
+27.53%
21.16%AU$5.55AU$2.70n/a9
Jan ’26AU$2.40
AU$4.18
+74.29%
24.01%AU$5.85AU$2.75n/a9
Dec ’25AU$2.71
AU$4.46
+64.66%
23.96%AU$5.85AU$3.00n/a8
Nov ’25AU$3.42
AU$4.46
+30.47%
23.96%AU$5.85AU$3.00n/a8
Oct ’25AU$3.41
AU$4.47
+31.22%
25.24%AU$5.85AU$3.00n/a8
Sep ’25AU$2.86
AU$4.96
+73.62%
15.05%AU$5.85AU$4.00n/a7
Aug ’25AU$3.67
AU$5.11
+39.34%
15.26%AU$6.20AU$4.00n/a7
Jul ’25AU$4.08
AU$5.75
+40.92%
14.17%AU$7.10AU$4.65n/a7
Jun ’25AU$4.61
AU$5.74
+24.56%
14.36%AU$7.10AU$4.60n/a7
May ’25AU$5.17
AU$5.74
+11.18%
14.36%AU$7.10AU$4.60AU$3.377
Apr ’25AU$4.73
AU$5.59
+18.30%
9.35%AU$6.34AU$4.75AU$2.426
Mar ’25AU$4.77
AU$5.59
+17.18%
9.35%AU$6.34AU$4.75AU$2.486
Feb ’25AU$5.65
AU$5.55
-1.69%
10.17%AU$6.41AU$4.75AU$3.286
Jan ’25AU$4.04
AU$4.68
+15.79%
17.01%AU$5.69AU$3.60AU$2.405
Dec ’24AU$4.27
AU$4.56
+6.75%
14.49%AU$5.53AU$3.60AU$2.716
Nov ’24AU$4.52
AU$4.60
+1.73%
15.84%AU$5.71AU$3.60AU$3.426
Oct ’24AU$4.91
AU$4.51
-8.15%
16.82%AU$5.53AU$3.40AU$3.416
Sep ’24AU$3.56
AU$3.44
-3.37%
4.68%AU$3.72AU$3.22AU$2.866
Aug ’24AU$2.98
AU$3.44
+15.44%
4.68%AU$3.72AU$3.22AU$3.676
Jul ’24AU$3.11
AU$3.48
+11.83%
4.76%AU$3.72AU$3.22AU$4.085
Jun ’24AU$2.86
AU$3.29
+15.06%
2.63%AU$3.42AU$3.20AU$4.614
May ’24AU$2.56
AU$3.29
+28.32%
2.63%AU$3.42AU$3.20AU$5.174
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
AU$3.98
Fair Value
9.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/19 01:16
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/19 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Boss Energy Limited is covered by 17 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Regan BurrowsBell Potter
Cameron TaylorBofA Global Research