Stock Analysis

Here's Why Yancoal Australia (ASX:YAL) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

ASX:YAL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Yancoal Australia Ltd (ASX:YAL) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Yancoal Australia

What Is Yancoal Australia's Debt?

As you can see below, Yancoal Australia had AU$3.44b of debt at December 2021, down from AU$4.08b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$1.50b, its net debt is less, at about AU$1.94b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:YAL Debt to Equity History March 1st 2022

How Strong Is Yancoal Australia's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Yancoal Australia had liabilities of AU$826.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$4.83b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$1.50b and AU$730.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling AU$3.43b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of AU$5.28b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Yancoal Australia's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.87 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.0 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Notably, Yancoal Australia made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of AU$1.3b in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yancoal Australia can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Yancoal Australia actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On our analysis Yancoal Australia's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. Considering this range of data points, we think Yancoal Australia is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Yancoal Australia that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.