David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies NuEnergy Gas Limited (ASX:NGY) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does NuEnergy Gas Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 NuEnergy Gas had debt of AU$4.15m, up from AU$3.56m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$4.13m, its net debt is less, at about AU$14.6k.
How Strong Is NuEnergy Gas' Balance Sheet?
According to the balance sheet data, NuEnergy Gas had liabilities of AU$15.5m due within 12 months, but no longer term liabilities. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$4.13m as well as receivables valued at AU$87.7k due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$11.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
NuEnergy Gas has a market capitalization of AU$26.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Carrying virtually no net debt, NuEnergy Gas has a very light debt load indeed. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since NuEnergy Gas will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, NuEnergy Gas shareholders no doubt hope it can fund itself until it can sell some combustibles.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did NuEnergy Gas's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$447k. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$1.5m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that NuEnergy Gas is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About ASX:NGY
NuEnergy Gas
An independent clean energy company, engages in the exploration, appraisal, and development of coal bed methane gas projects in Indonesia.
Adequate balance sheet slight.