Stock Analysis

Here's Why Jade Gas Holdings (ASX:JGH) Can Afford Some Debt

ASX:JGH
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Jade Gas Holdings Limited (ASX:JGH) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jade Gas Holdings

What Is Jade Gas Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Jade Gas Holdings had AU$3.87m of debt, an increase on AU$142.1k, over one year. On the flip side, it has AU$664.9k in cash leading to net debt of about AU$3.21m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:JGH Debt to Equity History September 20th 2024

How Strong Is Jade Gas Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jade Gas Holdings had liabilities of AU$5.00m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$52.8k due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$664.9k in cash and AU$164.7k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$4.22m.

Since publicly traded Jade Gas Holdings shares are worth a total of AU$53.6m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jade Gas Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, Jade Gas Holdings shareholders no doubt hope it can fund itself until it can sell some combustibles.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Jade Gas Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost AU$4.5m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$10m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Jade Gas Holdings (including 3 which are potentially serious) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.