Stock Analysis

Does Byron Energy (ASX:BYE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ASX:BYE
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Byron Energy Limited (ASX:BYE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Byron Energy

What Is Byron Energy's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Byron Energy had US$22.3m of debt, an increase on US$14.3m, over one year. However, it does have US$1.50m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$20.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:BYE Debt to Equity History March 20th 2021

How Healthy Is Byron Energy's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Byron Energy had liabilities of US$20.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$21.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.50m and US$4.64m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$35.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Byron Energy is worth US$120.9m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Byron Energy has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.6, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.1. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Notably, Byron Energy made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$3.4m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Byron Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Byron Energy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Byron Energy's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, isn't such a worry. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Byron Energy stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Byron Energy (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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