Stock Analysis

Is A-Cap Energy (ASX:ACB) A Risky Investment?

ASX:ACB
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, A-Cap Energy Limited (ASX:ACB) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for A-Cap Energy

How Much Debt Does A-Cap Energy Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, A-Cap Energy had AU$8.70m of debt, up from AU$7.90m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had AU$541.1k in cash, and so its net debt is AU$8.16m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:ACB Debt to Equity History March 17th 2021

A Look At A-Cap Energy's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, A-Cap Energy had liabilities of AU$6.63m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$2.59m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$541.1k as well as receivables valued at AU$19.1k due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$8.67m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given A-Cap Energy has a market capitalization of AU$54.1m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since A-Cap Energy will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Since A-Cap Energy doesn't have significant operating revenue, shareholders must hope it'll sell some fossil fuels, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did A-Cap Energy's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$2.0m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$1.4m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 5 warning signs with A-Cap Energy (at least 3 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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