Stock Analysis
- Australia
- /
- Diversified Financial
- /
- ASX:WTL
There's No Escaping WT Financial Group Limited's (ASX:WTL) Muted Earnings Despite A 27% Share Price Rise
WT Financial Group Limited (ASX:WTL) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 15% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, WT Financial Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.9x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 20x and even P/E's above 35x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at WT Financial Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for WT Financial Group
Is There Any Growth For WT Financial Group?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like WT Financial Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why WT Financial Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From WT Financial Group's P/E?
Even after such a strong price move, WT Financial Group's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that WT Financial Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for WT Financial Group that we have uncovered.
You might be able to find a better investment than WT Financial Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if WT Financial Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:WTL
WT Financial Group
Provides a range of financial services.