Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding SelfWealth Limited (ASX:SWF)

ASX:SWF
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x SelfWealth Limited (ASX:SWF) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Capital Markets companies in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 4.2x and even P/S higher than 21x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for SelfWealth

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:SWF Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 9th 2023

How SelfWealth Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen firmly for SelfWealth recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on SelfWealth will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on SelfWealth will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

SelfWealth's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's top line. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 1.9% in the next 12 months, the company's positive momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a bright spot for the moment.

In light of this, it's quite peculiar that SelfWealth's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From SelfWealth's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of SelfWealth revealed that despite growing revenue over the medium-term in a shrinking industry, the P/S doesn't reflect this as it's lower than the industry average. There could be some major unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. Perhaps there is some hesitation about the company's ability to stay its recent course and swim against the current of the broader industry turmoil. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for SelfWealth you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on SelfWealth, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.