Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Perpetual Limited (ASX:PPT) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

ASX:PPT
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Perpetual Limited (ASX:PPT) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Therefore, if you purchase Perpetual's shares on or after the 7th of September, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 29th of September.

The company's next dividend payment will be AU$0.65 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of AU$1.20 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that Perpetual has a trailing yield of 5.7% on the current share price of A$21.12. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

View our latest analysis for Perpetual

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Perpetual paid out 164% of profit in the past year, which we think is typically not sustainable unless there are mitigating characteristics such as unusually strong cash flow or a large cash balance.

Generally, the higher a company's payout ratio, the more the dividend is at risk of being reduced.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
ASX:PPT Historic Dividend September 2nd 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Perpetual's 29% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Perpetual has seen its dividend decline 0.8% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see.

The Bottom Line

Is Perpetual worth buying for its dividend? Earnings per share are in decline and Perpetual is paying out what we feel is an uncomfortably high percentage of its profit as dividends. Generally we think dividend investors should avoid businesses in this situation, as high payout ratios and declining earnings can lead to the dividend being cut. These characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance, and investors may not be happy with the results of owning this stock for its dividend.

With that being said, if you're still considering Perpetual as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. For example, Perpetual has 3 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.