Ainsworth Game Technology Limited

CHIA:AGI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$264.4m

Ainsworth Game Technology Valuation

Is AGI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGI (A$0.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AGI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.3x
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AGI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AGI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
JIN Jumbo Interactive
20x7.2%AU$867.2m
RCT Reef Casino Trust
13.5xn/aAU$70.2m
DNA Donaco International
1.1xn/aAU$39.5m
TLC Lottery
27.6x4.3%AU$11.4b
AGI Ainsworth Game Technology
48.4x24.5%AU$264.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.4x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AGI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
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Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.4x) compared to the Oceanic Hospitality industry average (23.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio48.4x
Fair PE Ratio24x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AGI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AGI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.79
AU$0.92
+16.6%
1.6%AU$0.93AU$0.90n/a2
Sep ’25AU$0.86
AU$0.92
+6.4%
1.6%AU$0.93AU$0.90n/a2
Aug ’25AU$0.92
AU$1.10
+19.9%
0.3%AU$1.10AU$1.09n/a2
Jul ’25AU$0.89
AU$1.10
+23.2%
0.3%AU$1.10AU$1.09n/a2
Jun ’25AU$0.90
AU$1.10
+21.5%
0.3%AU$1.10AU$1.09n/a2
May ’25AU$1.21
AU$1.35
+11.6%
7.8%AU$1.45AU$1.24n/a2
Apr ’25AU$1.24
AU$1.35
+8.5%
7.8%AU$1.45AU$1.24n/a2
Mar ’25AU$1.16
AU$1.35
+15.9%
7.8%AU$1.45AU$1.24n/a2
Feb ’25AU$1.36
AU$1.20
-11.4%
12.5%AU$1.35AU$1.05n/a2
Jan ’25AU$1.32
AU$1.20
-8.7%
12.5%AU$1.35AU$1.05n/a2
Dec ’24AU$1.21
AU$1.20
-0.8%
12.5%AU$1.35AU$1.05n/a2
Nov ’24AU$1.01
AU$1.18
+16.9%
14.9%AU$1.35AU$1.00n/a2
Oct ’24AU$1.01
AU$1.18
+16.9%
14.9%AU$1.35AU$1.00n/a2
Sep ’24AU$1.00
AU$1.18
+17.5%
14.9%AU$1.35AU$1.00AU$0.862
Aug ’24AU$1.10
AU$1.18
+7.8%
5.9%AU$1.25AU$1.11AU$0.922
Jul ’24AU$1.03
AU$1.18
+14.6%
5.9%AU$1.25AU$1.11AU$0.892
Jun ’24AU$1.06
AU$1.21
+13.7%
7.9%AU$1.30AU$1.11AU$0.902
May ’24AU$0.96
AU$1.24
+29.2%
4.8%AU$1.30AU$1.18AU$1.212
Apr ’24AU$1.02
AU$1.24
+21.6%
4.8%AU$1.30AU$1.18AU$1.242
Mar ’24AU$1.04
AU$1.24
+19.5%
4.8%AU$1.30AU$1.18AU$1.162
Feb ’24AU$1.05
AU$1.23
+16.7%
14.3%AU$1.40AU$1.05AU$1.362
Jan ’24AU$1.04
AU$1.23
+17.8%
14.3%AU$1.40AU$1.05AU$1.322
Dec ’23AU$1.26
AU$1.23
-2.8%
14.3%AU$1.40AU$1.05AU$1.212
Nov ’23AU$0.83
AU$1.12
+34.3%
12.1%AU$1.25AU$0.98AU$1.012
Oct ’23AU$0.87
AU$1.08
+23.8%
11.4%AU$1.25AU$0.98AU$1.013
Sep ’23AU$0.94
AU$1.08
+13.9%
11.4%AU$1.25AU$0.98AU$1.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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