Further Upside For Tabcorp Holdings Limited (ASX:TAH) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 25% Bounce

Simply Wall St

Tabcorp Holdings Limited (ASX:TAH) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 5.7% over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in Australia's Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, you may still consider Tabcorp Holdings as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Our free stock report includes 1 warning sign investors should be aware of before investing in Tabcorp Holdings. Read for free now.

Check out our latest analysis for Tabcorp Holdings

ASX:TAH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 7th 2025

How Tabcorp Holdings Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Tabcorp Holdings as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Tabcorp Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tabcorp Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.0%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 222% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.9% each year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.4% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Tabcorp Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Tabcorp Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Tabcorp Holdings' P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Tabcorp Holdings' revealed that its P/S remains low despite analyst forecasts of revenue growth matching the wider industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Tabcorp Holdings, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tabcorp Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.