Stock Analysis

We Think PointsBet Holdings (ASX:PBH) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

ASX:PBH
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. Indeed, PointsBet Holdings (ASX:PBH) stock is up 164% in the last year, providing strong gains for shareholders. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky PointsBet Holdings' cash burn is. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

Check out our latest analysis for PointsBet Holdings

How Long Is PointsBet Holdings' Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. As at June 2020, PointsBet Holdings had cash of AU$144m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was AU$51m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.8 years from June 2020. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:PBH Debt to Equity History January 25th 2021

How Well Is PointsBet Holdings Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that PointsBet Holdings is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 36% in the last year. On a more positive note, the operating revenue improved by 193% over the period, offering an indication that the expenditure may well be worthwhile. If revenue is maintained once spending on growth decreases, that could well pay off! We think it is growing rather well, upon reflection. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can PointsBet Holdings Raise More Cash Easily?

We are certainly impressed with the progress PointsBet Holdings has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Since it has a market capitalisation of AU$3.3b, PointsBet Holdings' AU$51m in cash burn equates to about 1.5% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

How Risky Is PointsBet Holdings' Cash Burn Situation?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about PointsBet Holdings' cash burn. In particular, we think its revenue growth stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 4 warning signs for PointsBet Holdings (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

Of course PointsBet Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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