Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Oliver's Real Food Limited's (ASX:OLI) Muted Revenues

ASX:OLI
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Hospitality industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, Oliver's Real Food Limited (ASX:OLI) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Oliver's Real Food

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:OLI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 28th 2024

How Oliver's Real Food Has Been Performing

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Oliver's Real Food's revenue has been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Oliver's Real Food will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Oliver's Real Food's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Oliver's Real Food?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Oliver's Real Food's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 8.7% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 9.0% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Oliver's Real Food's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Oliver's Real Food's P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

In line with expectations, Oliver's Real Food maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Oliver's Real Food (2 are potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.